arXiv:2603.22297v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Electroencephalographic (EEG) signals provide macroscopic observables of complex neural dynamics. We introduce a horizon-inspired framework in which measured EEG signals are modeled as projections of a complex wave-like representation constrained by an effective boundary analogous to an event horizon. In this formulation the signal amplitude obeys a renormalization-group scaling relation while EEG spectral entropy parameterizes the accessibility of observable modes. The resulting solutions generate oscillatory structures whose geometry and spectral signatures can be explored through signal analysis and sonification. This mapping between entropy-based neural observables and wave-like signal representations provides a physically motivated framework linking entropy measures, scale-dependent dynamics, and observable neural oscillations, and suggests testable connections between spectral entropy and the amplitude scaling of EEG modes.

arXiv:2603.22311v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Fluorescence-based Ca$^{2+}$-imaging is a powerful tool for studying localized neuronal activity, including miniature Synaptic Calcium Transients, providing real-time insights into synaptic activity. These transients induce only subtle changes in the fluorescence signal, often barely above baseline, which poses a significant challenge for automated synaptic transient detection and segmentation. Detecting astronomical transients similarly requires efficient algorithms that will remain robust over a large field of view with varying noise properties. We leverage techniques used in astronomical transient detection for miniature Synaptic Calcium Transient detection in fluorescence microscopy. We present Astro-BEATS, an automatic miniature Synaptic Calcium Transient segmentation algorithm that incorporates image estimation and source-finding techniques used in astronomy and designed for Ca$^{2+}$-imaging videos. Astro-BEATS outperforms current threshold-based approaches for synaptic Ca$^{2+}$ transient detection and segmentation. The produced segmentation masks can be used to train a supervised deep learning algorithm for improved synaptic Ca$^{2+}$ transient detection in Ca$^{2+}$-imaging data. The speed of Astro-BEATS and its applicability to previously unseen datasets without re-optimization makes it particularly useful for generating training datasets for deep learning-based approaches.

arXiv:2603.22404v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Consider a market of competing model providers selling query access to models with varying costs and capabilities. Customers submit problem instances and are willing to pay up to a budget for a verifiable solution. An arbitrageur efficiently allocates inference budget across providers to undercut the market, thus creating a competitive offering with no model-development risk. In this work, we initiate the study of arbitrage in AI model markets, empirically demonstrating the viability of arbitrage and illustrating its economic consequences. We conduct an in-depth case study of SWE-bench GitHub issue resolution using two representative models, GPT-5 mini and DeepSeek v3.2. In this verifiable domain, simple arbitrage strategies generate net profit margins of up to 40%. Robust arbitrage strategies that generalize across different domains remain profitable. Distillation further creates strong arbitrage opportunities, potentially at the expense of the teacher model's revenue. Multiple competing arbitrageurs drive down consumer prices, reducing the marginal revenue of model providers. At the same time, arbitrage reduces market segmentation and facilitates market entry for smaller model providers by enabling earlier revenue capture. Our results suggest that arbitrage can be a powerful force in AI model markets with implications for model development, distillation, and deployment.

arXiv:2603.22608v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Users often rely on Large Language Models (LLMs) for processing multiple documents or performing analysis over a number of instances. For example, analysing the overall sentiment of a number of movie reviews requires an LLM to process the sentiment of each review individually in order to provide a final aggregated answer. While LLM performance on such individual tasks is generally high, there has been little research on how LLMs perform when dealing with multi-instance inputs. In this paper, we perform a comprehensive evaluation of the multi-instance processing (MIP) ability of LLMs for tasks in which they excel individually. The results show that all LLMs follow a pattern of slight performance degradation for small numbers of instances (approximately 20-100), followed by a performance collapse on larger instance counts. Crucially, our analysis shows that while context length is associated with this degradation, the number of instances has a stronger effect on the final results. This finding suggests that when optimising LLM performance for MIP, attention should be paid to both context length and, in particular, instance count.

arXiv:2603.22813v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Humans often juggle multiple, sometimes conflicting objectives and shift their priorities as circumstances change, rather than following a fixed objective function. In contrast, most computational decision-making and multi-objective RL methods assume static preference weights or a known scalar reward. In this work, we study sequential decision-making problem when these preference weights are unobserved latent variables that drift with context. Specifically, we propose Dynamic Preference Inference (DPI), a cognitively inspired framework in which an agent maintains a probabilistic belief over preference weights, updates this belief from recent interaction, and conditions its policy on inferred preferences. We instantiate DPI as a variational preference inference module trained jointly with a preference-conditioned actor-critic, using vector-valued returns as evidence about latent trade-offs. In queueing, maze, and multi-objective continuous-control environments with event-driven changes in objectives, DPI adapts its inferred preferences to new regimes and achieves higher post-shift performance than fixed-weight and heuristic envelope baselines.

arXiv:2603.22846v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Embodied Visual Tracking (EVT), a core dynamic task in embodied intelligence, requires an agent to precisely follow a language-specified target. Yet most existing methods rely on single-agent imitation learning, suffering from costly expert data and limited generalization due to static training environments. Inspired by competition-driven capability evolution, we propose CoMaTrack, a competitive game-theoretic multi-agent reinforcement learning framework that trains agents in a dynamic adversarial setting with competitive subtasks, yielding stronger adaptive planning and interference-resilient strategies. We further introduce CoMaTrack-Bench, the first benchmark for competitive EVT, featuring game scenarios between a tracker and adaptive opponents across diverse environments and instructions, enabling standardized robustness evaluation under active adversarial interactions. Experiments show that CoMaTrack achieves state-of-the-art results on both standard benchmarks and CoMaTrack-Bench. Notably, a 3B VLM trained with our framework surpasses previous single-agent imitation learning methods based on 7B models on the challenging EVT-Bench, achieving 92.1% in STT, 74.2% in DT, and 57.5% in AT. The benchmark code will be available at https://github.com/wlqcode/CoMaTrack-Bench

arXiv:2603.23003v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: The comparison of dental records is a standardized technique in forensic dentistry used to speed up the identification of individuals in multiple-comparison scenarios. Specifically, the odontogram comparison is a procedure to compute criteria that will be used to perform a ranking. State-of-the-art automatic methods either make use of simple techniques, without utilizing the full potential of the information obtained from a comparison, or their internal behavior is not known due to the lack of peer-reviewed publications. This work aims to design aggregation mechanisms to automatically compare pairs of dental records that can be understood and validated by experts, improving the current methods. To do so, we introduce different aggregation approaches using the state-of-the-art codification, based on seven different criteria. In particular, we study the performance of i) data-driven lexicographical order-based aggregations, ii) well-known fuzzy logic aggregation methods and iii) machine learning techniques as aggregation mechanisms. To validate our proposals, 215 forensic cases from two different populations have been used. The results obtained show how the use of white-box machine learning techniques as aggregation models (average ranking from 2.02 to 2.21) are able to improve the state-of-the-art (average ranking of 3.91) without compromising the explainability and interpretability of the method.

arXiv:2603.23059v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Recent advances in game AI, such as AlphaZero and Ath\'enan, have achieved superhuman performance across a wide range of board games. While highly powerful, these agents are ill-suited for human-AI interaction, as they consistently overwhelm human players, offering little enjoyment and limited educational value. This paper addresses the problem of balanced play, in which an agent challenges its opponent without either dominating or conceding. We introduce Minibal (Minimize & Balance), a variant of Minimax specifically designed for balanced play. Building on this concept, we propose several modifications of the Unbounded Minimax algorithm explicitly aimed at discovering balanced strategies. Experiments conducted across seven board games demonstrate that one variant consistently achieves the most balanced play, with average outcomes close to perfect balance. These results establish Minibal as a promising foundation for designing AI agents that are both challenging and engaging, suitable for both entertainment and serious games.

arXiv:2603.23149v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Deploying safety-critical agents requires anticipating the consequences of actions before they are executed. While world models offer a paradigm for this proactive foresight, current approaches relying on visual simulation incur prohibitive latencies, often exceeding several seconds per step. In this work, we challenge the assumption that visual processing is necessary for failure prevention. We show that a trained policy's latent state, combined with its planned actions, already encodes sufficient information to anticipate action outcomes, making visual simulation redundant for failure prevention. To this end, we introduce DILLO (DIstiLLed Language-ActiOn World Model), a fast steering layer that shifts the paradigm from "simulate-then-act" to "describe-then-act." DILLO is trained via cross-modal distillation, where a privileged Vision Language Model teacher annotates offline trajectories and a latent-conditioned Large Language Model student learns to predict semantic outcomes. This creates a text-only inference path, bypassing heavy visual generation entirely, achieving a 14x speedup over baselines. Experiments on MetaWorld and LIBERO demonstrate that DILLO produces high-fidelity descriptions of the next state and is able to steer the policy, improving episode success rate by up to 15 pp and 9.3 pp on average across tasks.

arXiv:2502.04188v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Documenting software architecture is essential to preserve architecture knowledge, even though it is frequently costly. Architecture pattern instances, including microservice pattern instances, provide important structural software information. Practitioners should document this information to prevent knowledge vaporization. However, architecture patterns may not be detectable by analyzing source code artifacts, requiring the analysis of other types of artifacts. Moreover, many existing pattern detection instance approaches are complex to extend. This article presents our ongoing PhD research, early experiments, and a prototype for a tool we call MicroPAD for automating the detection of microservice pattern instances. The prototype uses Large Language Models (LLMs) to analyze Infrastructure-as-Code (IaC) artifacts to aid detection, aiming to keep costs low and maximize the scope of detectable patterns. Early experiments ran the prototype thrice in 22 GitHub projects. We verified that 83\% of the patterns that the prototype identified were in the project. The costs of detecting the pattern instances were minimal. These results indicate that the approach is likely viable and, by lowering the entry barrier to automating pattern instance detection, could help democratize developer access to this category of architecture knowledge. Finally, we present our overall research methodology, planned future work, and an overview of MicroPAD's potential industrial impact.

arXiv:2603.22317v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Graph-structured data typically exhibits complex topological heterogeneity, making it difficult to model accurately within a single Riemannian manifold. While emerging mixed-curvature methods attempt to capture such diversity, they often rely on implicit, task-driven routing that lacks fundamental geometric grounding. To address this challenge, we propose a Geometric Mixture-of-Experts framework (GeoMoE) that adaptively fuses node representations across diverse Riemannian spaces to better accommodate multi-scale topological structures. At its core, GeoMoE leverages Ollivier-Ricci Curvature (ORC) as an intrinsic geometric prior to orchestrate the collaboration of specialized experts. Specifically, we design a graph-aware gating network that assigns node-specific fusion weights, regularized by a curvature-guided alignment loss to ensure interpretable and geometry-consistent routing. Additionally, we introduce a curvature-aware contrastive objective that promotes geometric discriminability by constructing positive and negative pairs according to curvature consistency. Extensive experiments on six benchmark datasets demonstrate that GeoMoE outperforms state-of-the-art baselines across diverse graph types.

arXiv:2603.22321v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: The recent advancements introduced by Large Language Models (LLMs) have transformed how Artificial Intelligence (AI) can support complex, real world tasks, pushing research outside the text boundaries towards multi modal contexts and leading to Multimodal Large Language Models (MLMs). Given the current adoption of LLM based assistants in solving technical or domain specific problems, the natural continuation of this trend is to extend the input domains of these assistants exploiting MLMs. Ideally, these MLMs should be used as real time assistants in procedural tasks, hopefully integrating a view of the environment where the user being assisted is, or even better sharing the same point of view via Virtual Reality (VR) or Augmented Reality (AR) supports, to reason over the same scenario the user is experiencing. With this work, we aim at evaluating the quality of currently openly available MLMs to provide this kind of assistance on technical tasks. To this end, we annotated a data set of furniture assembly with step by step labels and manual references: the Manual to Action Dataset (M2AD). We used this dataset to assess (1) to which extent the reasoning abilities of MLMs can be used to reduce the need for detailed labelling, allowing for more efficient, cost effective annotation practices, (2) whether MLMs are able to track the progression of assembly steps (3) and whether MLMs can refer correctly to the instruction manual pages. Our results showed that while some models understand procedural sequences, their performance is limited by architectural and hardware constraints, highlighting the need for multi image and interleaved text image reasoning.

arXiv:2603.22326v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Decision support systems are essential for maintaining grid stability in low-carbon power systems, such as wind power plants, by providing real-time alerts to control room operators regarding potential events, including Wind Power Ramp Events (WPREs). These early warnings enable the timely initiation of more detailed system stability assessments and preventive actions. However, forecasting these events is challenging due to the inherent class imbalance in WPRE datasets, where ramp events are less frequent (typically less than 15\% of observed events) compared to normal conditions. Ignoring this characteristic undermines the performance of conventional machine learning models, which often favor the majority class. This paper introduces a novel methodology for WPRE forecasting as a multivariate time series classification task and proposes a data preprocessing strategy that extracts features from recent power observations and masks unavailable ramp information, making it integrable with traditional real-time ramp identification tools. Particularly, the proposed methodology combines majority-class undersampling and ensemble learning to enhance wind ramp event forecasting under class imbalance. Numerical simulations conducted on a real-world dataset demonstrate the superiority of our approach, achieving over 85% accuracy and 88% weighted F1 score, outperforming benchmark classifiers.

arXiv:2603.22327v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Systematic literature reviews are essential for synthesizing scientific evidence but are costly, difficult to scale and time-intensive, creating bottlenecks for evidence-based policy. We study whether large language models can automate the complete systematic review workflow, from article retrieval, article screening, data extraction to report synthesis. Applied to epidemiological reviews of nine WHO-designated priority pathogens and validated against expert-curated ground truth, our open-source agentic pipeline (AgentSLR) achieves performance comparable to human researchers while reducing review time from approximately 7 weeks to 20 hours (a 58x speed-up). Our comparison of five frontier models reveals that performance on SLR is driven less by model size or inference cost than by each model's distinctive capabilities. Through human-in-the-loop validation, we identify key failure modes. Our results demonstrate that agentic AI can substantially accelerate scientific evidence synthesis in specialised domains.

arXiv:2603.22328v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Despite the strong predictive performance achieved by machine learning models across many application domains, assessing their trustworthiness through reliable estimates of predictive confidence remains a critical challenge. This issue arises in scenarios where the likelihood of error inferred from learned representations follows a bimodal distribution, resulting from the coexistence of confident and ambiguous predictions. Standard regression approaches often struggle to adequately express this predictive uncertainty, as they implicitly assume unimodal Gaussian noise, leading to mean-collapse behavior in such settings. Although Mixture Density Networks (MDNs) can represent different distributions, they suffer from severe optimization instability. We propose a family of distribution-aware loss functions integrating normalized RMSE with Wasserstein and Cram\'er distances. When applied to standard deep regression models, our approach recovers bimodal distributions without the volatility of mixture models. Validated across four experimental stages, our results show that the proposed Wasserstein loss establishes a new Pareto efficiency frontier: matching the stability of standard regression losses like MSE in unimodal tasks while reducing Jensen-Shannon Divergence by 45% on complex bimodal datasets. Our framework strictly dominates MDNs in both fidelity and robustness, offering a reliable tool for aleatoric uncertainty estimation in trustworthy AI systems.

arXiv:2603.22332v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Data imputation is a cornerstone technique for handling missing values in real-world datasets, which are often plagued by missingness. Despite recent progress, prior studies on Large Language Models-based imputation remain limited by scalability challenges, restricted cross-model comparisons, and evaluations conducted on small or domain-specific datasets. Furthermore, heterogeneous experimental protocols and inconsistent treatment of missingness mechanisms (MCAR, MAR, and MNAR) hinder systematic benchmarking across methods. This work investigates the robustness of Large Language Models for missing data imputation in tabular datasets using a zero-shot prompt engineering approach. To this end, we present a comprehensive benchmarking study comparing five widely used LLMs against six state-of-the-art imputation baselines. The experimental design evaluates these methods across 29 datasets (including nine synthetic datasets) under MCAR, MAR, and MNAR mechanisms, with missing rates of up to 20\%. The results demonstrate that leading LLMs, particularly Gemini 3.0 Flash and Claude 4.5 Sonnet, consistently achieve superior performance on real-world open-source datasets compared to traditional methods. However, this advantage appears to be closely tied to the models' prior exposure to domain-specific patterns learned during pre-training on internet-scale corpora. In contrast, on synthetic datasets, traditional methods such as MICE outperform LLMs, suggesting that LLM effectiveness is driven by semantic context rather than purely statistical reconstruction. Furthermore, we identify a clear trade-off: while LLMs excel in imputation quality, they incur significantly higher computational time and monetary costs. Overall, this study provides a large-scale comparative analysis, positioning LLMs as promising semantics-driven imputers for complex tabular data.

arXiv:2603.22346v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: We isolate and empirically characterize first-mover bias -- a path-dependent concentration of feature importance caused by sequential residual fitting in gradient boosting -- as a specific mechanistic cause of the well-known instability of SHAP-based feature rankings under multicollinearity. When correlated features compete for early splits, gradient boosting creates a self-reinforcing advantage for whichever feature is selected first: subsequent trees inherit modified residuals that favor the incumbent, concentrating SHAP importance on an arbitrary feature rather than distributing it across the correlated group. Scaling up a single model amplifies this effect -- a Large Single Model with the same total tree count as our method produces the worst explanations of any approach tested. We demonstrate that model independence is sufficient to resolve first-mover bias in the linear regime, and remains the most effective mitigation under nonlinear data-generating processes. Both our proposed method, DASH (Diversified Aggregation of SHAP), and simple seed-averaging (Stochastic Retrain) restore stability by breaking the sequential dependency chain, confirming that the operative mechanism is independence between explained models. At rho=0.9, both achieve stability=0.977, while the single-best workflow degrades to 0.958 and the Large Single Model to 0.938. On the Breast Cancer dataset, DASH improves stability from 0.32 to 0.93 (+0.61) against a tree-count-matched baseline. DASH additionally provides two diagnostic tools -- the Feature Stability Index (FSI) and Importance-Stability (IS) Plot -- that detect first-mover bias without ground truth, enabling practitioners to audit explanation reliability before acting on feature rankings. Software and reproducible benchmarks are available at https://github.com/DrakeCaraker/dash-shap.

arXiv:2603.22375v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Diffusion models deliver high-fidelity generation but remain slow at inference time due to many sequential network evaluations. We find that standard timestep conditioning becomes a key bottleneck for few-step sampling. Motivated by layer-dependent denoising dynamics, we propose Multi-layer Time Embedding Optimization (MTEO), which freeze the pretrained diffusion backbone and distill a small set of step-wise, layer-wise time embeddings from reference trajectories. MTEO is plug-and-play with existing ODE solvers, adds no inference-time overhead, and trains only a tiny fraction of parameters. Extensive experiments across diverse datasets and backbones show state-of-the-art performance in the few-step sampling and substantially narrow the gap between distillation-based and lightweight methods. Code will be available.

arXiv:2603.22466v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Always-on sensing is essential for next-generation edge/wearable AI systems, yet continuous high-fidelity RGB video capture remains prohibitively expensive for resource-constrained mobile and edge platforms. We present a new paradigm for efficient streaming video understanding: grayscale-always, color-on-demand. Through preliminary studies, we discover that color is not always necessary. Sparse RGB frames suffice for comparable performance when temporal structure is preserved via continuous grayscale streams. Building on this insight, we propose ColorTrigger, an online training-free trigger that selectively activates color capture based on windowed grayscale affinity analysis. Designed for real-time edge deployment, ColorTrigger uses lightweight quadratic programming to detect chromatic redundancy causally, coupled with credit-budgeted control and dynamic token routing to jointly reduce sensing and inference costs. On streaming video understanding benchmarks, ColorTrigger achieves 91.6% of full-color baseline performance while using only 8.1% RGB frames, demonstrating substantial color redundancy in natural videos and enabling practical always-on video sensing on resource-constrained devices.

arXiv:2603.22469v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: The growing complexity of modern control tasks calls for controllers that can react online as objectives and disturbances change, while preserving closed-loop stability. Recent approaches for improving the performance of nonlinear systems while preserving closed-loop stability rely on time-invariant recurrent neural-network controllers, but offer no principled way to update the controller during operation. Most importantly, switching from one stabilizing policy to another can itself destabilize the closed-loop. We address this problem by introducing a stability-preserving update mechanism for nonlinear, neural-network-based controllers. Each controller is modeled as a causal operator with bounded $\ell_p$-gain, and we derive gain-based conditions under which the controller may be updated online. These conditions yield two practical update schemes, time-scheduled and state-triggered, that guarantee the closed-loop remains $\ell_p$-stable after any number of updates. Our analysis further shows that stability is decoupled from controller optimality, allowing approximate or early-stopped controller synthesis. We demonstrate the approach on nonlinear systems with time-varying objectives and disturbances, and show consistent performance improvements over static and naive online baselines while guaranteeing stability.