arXiv:2605.25854v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: The expansion of data centers (DCs) drives a sustained increase in electricity demand and associated water withdrawals at generation sites. These withdrawals occur at generation sites and are virtually allocated to demand based on network power flows. Consequently, the actual water footprint of a specific load varies dynamically with generation dispatch and network conditions. Existing approaches typically rely on static statistical accounting to quantify these water footprints. However, such static methods fail to capture how dispatch optimization and workload relocation dynamically affect water withdrawals. As a result, static statistical accounting approaches remain decoupled from the optimization process, rendering them incapable of guiding workload relocation or power dispatch to mitigate water stress. To address this limitation, this paper develops an operational electricity-computation-water (ECW) nexus framework that internalizes virtual water impacts directly into power system dispatch. The framework represents dispatch optimization as a differentiable optimization layer embedded within a deep learning architecture, enabling efficient end-to-end learning of coordination policies while preserving operational feasibility. Combined with fixed-point coordination, the framework enforces consistency between virtual water attribution and physical generation-side withdrawals. Case studies on the IEEE 30-bus and 118-bus test systems demonstrate reliable convergence, exact power-water consistency, and reductions of approximately 3-5% in generation-related freshwater withdrawals under water-constrained conditions.

arXiv:2605.24911v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Time series foundation models (TSFMs) have recently achieved strong zero-shot forecasting performance through large-scale pretraining and retrieval-augmented prediction. However, our empirical analysis reveals a non-trivial limitation of retrieval-based forecasting: retrieval tends to induce more oscillatory predictions, improving performance on highly fluctuating series while degrading accuracy on smoother, trend-dominated ones. This suggests that retrieved information may be fused into prediction without explicitly distinguishing stable temporal structure from instance-specific variations, which can reduce robustness under distribution shifts. We propose a Retrieval-guided Invariant-Dynamic DEcomposition framework for time series forecasting. Rather than using retrieval as auxiliary predictive context, we leverage retrieved sequences as implicit samples from related environments to guide representation decomposition. Specifically, we first construct a retrieval-aware representation via attention-based aggregation, and then introduce a retrieval-guided routing mechanism to decompose it into an invariant component capturing stable shared structure and a dynamic component modeling context-dependent variations. These two components are forecast separately and fused for final prediction, enabling the model to preserve transferable patterns while remaining adaptive to evolving dynamics. We further design training objectives that encourage invariant learning and disentanglement, and provide theoretical insight showing that retrieval aggregation reduces variance and approximates invariant representation learning without explicit environment supervision. Extensive experiments demonstrate that our method consistently improves robustness under distribution shifts and outperforms existing TSFMs and retrieval-based baselines in zero-shot forecasting settings.