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  • Hallucination, reliability, and the role of generative AI in science Charles Rathkopf
    arXiv:2504.08526v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Generative AI increasingly supports scientific inference, from protein structure prediction to weather forecasting. Yet its distinctive failure mode, hallucination, raises epistemic alarm bells. I argue that this failure mode can be addressed by shifting from data-centric to phenomenon-centric assessment. Through case studies of AlphaFold and GenCast, I show how scientific workflows discipline generative models through theory-guided trai
     

Hallucination, reliability, and the role of generative AI in science

arXiv:2504.08526v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Generative AI increasingly supports scientific inference, from protein structure prediction to weather forecasting. Yet its distinctive failure mode, hallucination, raises epistemic alarm bells. I argue that this failure mode can be addressed by shifting from data-centric to phenomenon-centric assessment. Through case studies of AlphaFold and GenCast, I show how scientific workflows discipline generative models through theory-guided training and confidence-based error screening. These strategies convert hallucination from an unmanageable epistemic threat into bounded risk. When embedded in such workflows, generative models support reliable inference despite opacity, provided they operate in theoretically mature domains.

Rethinking Lung Cancer Screening: AI Nodule Detection and Diagnosis Outperforms Radiologists, Leading Models, and Standards Beyond Size and Growth

arXiv:2512.00281v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Early detection of malignant lung nodules is critical, but its dependence on size and growth in screening inherently delays diagnosis. We present an AI system that redefines lung cancer screening by performing both detection and malignancy diagnosis directly at the nodule level on low-dose CT scans. To address limitations in dataset scale and explainability, we designed an ensemble of shallow deep learning and feature-based specialized models. Trained and evaluated on 25,709 scans with 69,449 annotated nodules, the system outperforms radiologists, Lung-RADS, and leading AI models (Sybil, Brock, Google, Kaggle). It achieves an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.98 internally and 0.945 on an independent cohort. With 0.5 false positives per scan at 99.3\% sensitivity, it addresses key barriers to AI adoption. Critically, it outperforms radiologists across all nodule sizes and stages, excelling in stage 1 cancers, and all growth-based metrics, including the least accurate: Volume-Doubling Time. It also surpasses radiologists by up to one year in diagnosing indeterminate and slow-growing nodules.

Multi-omic profiling reveals age-related immune dynamics in healthy adults

Nature, Published online: 29 October 2025; doi:10.1038/s41586-025-09686-5

This multi-omic longitudinal analysis of the healthy human peripheral immune system constructs the Human Immune Health Atlas and assembles data on immune cell composition and state changes with age, including responses to cytomegalovirus infection and influenza vaccination.

VaultGemma: A Differentially Private Gemma Model

arXiv:2510.15001v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: We introduce VaultGemma 1B, a 1 billion parameter model within the Gemma family, fully trained with differential privacy. Pretrained on the identical data mixture used for the Gemma 2 series, VaultGemma 1B represents a significant step forward in privacy-preserving large language models. We openly release this model to the community

Clone copy number diversity is linked to survival in lung cancer

Nature, Published online: 13 August 2025; doi:10.1038/s41586-025-09398-w

A study presents ALPACA, a computational method for inferring clone- and allele-specific copy numbers of individual clones from multi-sample bulk DNA-sequencing data, and demonstrates its use to study metastasis trajectories.

Circulating tumor cells: Blood-based detection, molecular biology, and clinical applications

Cancer Cell. 2025 Aug 11;43(8):1399-1422. doi: 10.1016/j.ccell.2025.07.008. Epub 2025 Jul 31.

ABSTRACT

Circulating tumor cells (CTCs) are cancer cells, shed from primary tumors or metastases into the bloodstream. The first non-invasive "liquid biopsy" for cancer monitoring, CTCs have been largely surpassed by circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) for clinical applications, given the ease of DNA sequencing without specialized cell isolation methods. However, emerging rare cell capture technologies that can process larger blood volumes and enable advanced single-cell analyses may enhance the range and potential of CTC-based biomarkers. CTCs are increasingly valuable for assessing tumor heterogeneity, guiding protein biomarker-driven cancer immune therapies, and assessing heterogeneous drug resistance, as well as for detecting minimal disease. CTCs, thus, remain central to understanding cancer dissemination and are poised to offer complementary diagnostic roles in the application of minimally invasive liquid biopsies for cancer. Here, we review recent advances in the study of these rare circulating cancer cells and discuss current limitations and future directions.

PMID:40749671 | DOI:10.1016/j.ccell.2025.07.008

Cancer gene identification from RNA variant allelic frequencies using RVdriver

Genome Biol. 2025 Jun 13;26(1):165. doi: 10.1186/s13059-025-03557-y.

ABSTRACT

Existing approaches to identifying cancer genes rely overwhelmingly on DNA sequencing data. Here, we introduce RVdriver, a computational tool that leverages paired bulk genomic and transcriptomic data to classify RNA variant allele frequencies (VAFs) of non-synonymous mutations relative to a synonymous mutation background. We analyze 7882 paired exomes and transcriptomes from 31 cancer types and identify novel, as well as known, cancer genes, complementing other DNA-based approaches. Furthermore, RNA VAFs of individual mutations are able to distinguish "driver" from "passenger" mutations within established cancer genes. This approach highlights the value of multi-omic approaches for cancer gene discovery.

PMID:40514689 | PMC:PMC12164115 | DOI:10.1186/s13059-025-03557-y

Improved tumor-type informed compared to tumor-informed mutation tracking for ctDNA detection and microscopic residual disease assessment in epithelial ovarian cancer

J Exp Clin Cancer Res. 2025 Jun 12;44(1):174. doi: 10.1186/s13046-025-03433-4.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Epithelial ovarian cancer (EOC) is a leading cause of cancer mortality in women, often diagnosed at advanced stages. While first-line treatments improve survival, relapses remain common, with 5-year survival rates below 40%. Circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) is a promising biomarker for non-invasive EOC detection and monitoring. It may help assess treatment response, notably microscopic residual disease. Our objective was to compare two ctDNA characterization strategies in EOC for assessing tumor burden during first-line treatment: a tumor-informed approach based on somatic mutations and a tumor-type informed approach utilizing DNA methylation patterns.

METHODS: In the tumor-informed approach, whole exome sequencing (WES) was performed on EOC tumor DNA and matched PBMCs from 22 patients to identify tumor-specific mutations. Personalized panels were then designed to track these mutations in plasma cfDNA. In the tumor-type informed approach, differentially methylated loci (DMLs) were identified by comparing EOC samples, healthy ovarian tissues, and PBMCs. A unique custom methylation panel was designed, and a support vector machine classifier was trained to distinguish between methylation profiles in plasma cfDNA from healthy donors and from EOC patients. Plasma samples from 47 advanced-stage EOC patients receiving chemotherapy and 54 healthy subjects were analyzed.

RESULTS: For the tumor-informed approach, WES identified an average of 72 somatic mutations per patient. For the tumor-type informed approach, 52,173 DMLs were identified as tumor-specific markers. In 47 plasma samples tested by both approaches, ctDNA levels were significantly correlated (R = 0.56, p = 4.3 × 10-5), with 70.2% concordance in detection. At baseline, ctDNA was detected in 21/22 patients with the tumor-informed approach, and in 11/12 non-training baseline samples with the tumor-type-informed classifier. At end-of-treatment, the latter detected ctDNA in 16/22 samples, outperforming the former. Detection using this more sensitive approach was significantly associated with relapse (log-rank p = 0.009; hazard ratio = 9.44; 95% CI 1.22-73.26) and poorer overall survival (log-rank p = 0.041).

CONCLUSION: The tumor-type informed classifier demonstrated sensitivity and specificity for ctDNA detection, outperforming the tumor-informed approach in monitoring EOC progression. Requiring fewer sequencing data, it offers a practical, efficient solution for clinical management of EOC.

PMID:40506726 | PMC:PMC12160408 | DOI:10.1186/s13046-025-03433-4

Synthetic lethality of mRNA quality control complexes in cancer

Nature, Published online: 05 February 2025; doi:10.1038/s41586-024-08398-6

PELO–HBS1L and SKI complexes in the human mRNA quality control pathway exhibit a synthetic lethal interaction and may represent novel targets for the development of cancer therapies.

A statistical framework for multi-trait rare variant analysis in large-scale whole-genome sequencing studies

Nat Comput Sci. 2025 Feb 7. doi: 10.1038/s43588-024-00764-8. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Large-scale whole-genome sequencing (WGS) studies have improved our understanding of the contributions of coding and noncoding rare variants to complex human traits. Leveraging association effect sizes across multiple traits in WGS rare variant association analysis can improve statistical power over single-trait analysis, and also detect pleiotropic genes and regions. Existing multi-trait methods have limited ability to perform rare variant analysis of large-scale WGS data. We propose MultiSTAAR, a statistical framework and computationally scalable analytical pipeline for functionally informed multi-trait rare variant analysis in large-scale WGS studies. MultiSTAAR accounts for relatedness, population structure and correlation among phenotypes by jointly analyzing multiple traits, and further empowers rare variant association analysis by incorporating multiple functional annotations. We applied MultiSTAAR to jointly analyze three lipid traits in 61,838 multi-ethnic samples from the Trans-Omics for Precision Medicine (TOPMed) Program. We discovered and replicated new associations with lipid traits missed by single-trait analysis.

PMID:39920506 | DOI:10.1038/s43588-024-00764-8

Liquid Biopsy for Spinal Tumors: On the Frontiers of Clinical Application

Global Spine J. 2025 Jan;15(1_suppl):16S-28S. doi: 10.1177/21925682231222012.

ABSTRACT

STUDY DESIGN: Narrative review.

OBJECTIVES: This article aims to provide a narrative review of the current state of research for liquid biopsy in spinal tumors and to discuss the potential application of liquid biopsy in the clinical management of patients with spinal tumors.

METHODS: A comprehensive review of the literature was performed using PubMed, Google Scholar, Medline, Embase and Cochrane databases, and the review was limited to articles of English language. All the relevant articles which were identified to be related to liquid biomarker study in spinal tumors, were studied in full text.

RESULTS: Liquid biopsy has revolutionized the field of precision medicine by guiding personalized clinical management of cancer patients based on the liquid biomarker status. In recent years, more research has been done to investigate its potential utilization in patients with tumors from the spine. Herein, we review the liquid biomarkers that have been proposed in different spine malignancies including chordoma, chondrosarcoma, Ewing sarcoma, osteosarcoma, astrocytoma and ependymoma. We also discuss the wide window of opportunity to utilize these liquid biomarkers in diagnosis, treatment response, monitoring, and detection of minimal residual disease in patients with spinal tumors.

CONCLUSIONS: Liquid biomarkers, especially blood-derived circulating tumor DNA, has a promising clinical utility as they are disease-specific, minimally invasive, and the procedure is repeatable. Prospective studies with larger populations are needed to fully establish its use in the setting of spinal tumors.

PMID:39801114 | PMC:PMC11726521 | DOI:10.1177/21925682231222012

Cancer biomarkers: Emerging trends and clinical implications for personalized treatment

Cancer biomarkers have transformed oncology, enabling treatments tailored to each tumor’s unique profile. This review highlights the field’s progress due to advancements in understanding cancer biology, testing methods, and understanding of the immune microenvironment to advance precision oncology for improved patient outcomes.

Single-cell multiplex chromatin and RNA interactions in ageing human brain

Nature, Published online: 27 March 2024; doi:10.1038/s41586-024-07239-w

We introduce multinucleic acid interaction mapping in single cells (MUSIC), for concurrent profiling of multiplex chromatin interactions, gene expression and RNA–chromatin associations within individual nuclei, as a tool for exploring chromatin architecture and transcription.
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