Calibration-informed metrics for instance-level predictive reliability in medical AI
Publication date: April 2026
Source: Artificial Intelligence in Medicine, Volume 174
Author(s): Federico Cabitza
Publication date: April 2026
Source: Artificial Intelligence in Medicine, Volume 174
Author(s): Federico Cabitza
Oncologist. 2026 Feb 5;31(3):oyag015. doi: 10.1093/oncolo/oyag015.
NO ABSTRACT
PMID:41660779 | DOI:10.1093/oncolo/oyag015
Phenomics. 2025 Dec 15;5(5):469-486. doi: 10.1007/s43657-024-00188-4. eCollection 2025 Oct.
ABSTRACT
Quantifying individual health status from increasingly accumulated omics data is essential for both early prevention and intervention of diseases, which attracts great attention from communities of biology and medicine. Most of the existing approaches mainly classify individuals into different catalogues or classes based on phenotypes and biomarkers. However, an individual's health status from a dynamical systems viewpoint can be viewed as a non-equilibrium steady state, which can generally be characterized by two key features, i.e. (1) homeostatic potential that represents the ability of homeostatic resilience to withstand perturbations or maintain functions at the current state/phenotype of this individual and (2) phenotypic potential that represents the state/phenotype of the individual on the whole process from health to disease. Here, we proposed a health state manifold (HSM) method derived from dynamic network biomarker method and diffusion map theory to quantify individual health status with the characterization of such two features in a robust and accurate manner based on multi-omics data. To verify our method, HSM method was applied to the quantification of diabetes mellitus (rat subjects) and the Roux-en-Y Gastric Bypass (human subjects) for both disease progression process and recovery process, which demonstrated its effectiveness and potential for personalized medicine and preventive medicine.
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s43657-024-00188-4.
PMID:41659741 | PMC:PMC12881232 | DOI:10.1007/s43657-024-00188-4
Cancer Res. 2026 Feb 9. doi: 10.1158/0008-5472.CAN-25-2854. Online ahead of print.
ABSTRACT
Pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) patients with diabetes mellitus (DM) exhibit poor clinical outcomes. Metabolic reprogramming of both cancer cells and immune compartments plays a crucial role in shaping the anti-tumor immune response in PDAC. DM-induced metabolic alteration may disrupt the intricate crosstalk between immune cells and tumor-associated immune factors, profoundly influencing PDAC progression. Here, we performed an integrated, spatially resolved multi-omics study to investigate DM-associated, cell-specific metabolic remodeling within the PDAC tumor microenvironment. DM influenced interactions between tumor cells and immune cells, which accelerated PDAC growth in both humans and mice. PDAC patients with DM exhibited higher tumor-stage, poorer differentiation, and worse outcomes. Spatial metabolic and transcriptional profiling revealed that SREBP2-dependent cholesterol biosynthesis exacerbated PDAC progression. Increased cholesterol biosynthesis promoted neutrophil recruitment and accelerated formation of neutrophil extracellular traps (NETs) by stimulating the CXCL1-CXCR1/CXCR2 signaling axis, ultimately promoting PDAC growth. Inhibition of SREBP2, pharmacological blockade of CXCL1, or perturbation of NETs markedly reduced PDAC growth in diabetic mouse models. Together, these multi-omics analyses and follow-up mechanistic studies constitute an integrated approach that elucidates a metabolic mechanism by which diabetes promotes PDAC development by remodeling the tumor immune microenvironment and highlights a potential therapeutic strategy for PDAC with DM.
PMID:41661642 | DOI:10.1158/0008-5472.CAN-25-2854
Nature Medicine, Published online: 09 February 2026; doi:10.1038/s41591-025-04074-y
In a randomized controlled study involving 1,298 participants from a general sample, performance of humans when assisted by a large language model (LLM) was sensibly inferior to that of the LLM alone when assessing ten medical scenarios leading to disease identification and recommendations for treatment.Nature Biotechnology, Published online: 09 February 2026; doi:10.1038/s41587-026-03003-9
Insights into regulatory T cell biology are accelerating therapeutic innovation in cancer immunotherapy, autoimmune diseases and transplant rejection.Expert Rev Anticancer Ther. 2026 Feb 15:1-12. doi: 10.1080/14737140.2026.2630026. Online ahead of print.
ABSTRACT
INTRODUCTION: Liquid biopsy has emerged as an important approach to capture tumor-derived material from blood and other body fluids, offering a minimally invasive window into cancer biology. In non - small cell lung cancer (NSCLC), it enables comprehensive molecular profiling that informs patient management, from guiding therapy choices to monitoring disease status and assessing minimal residual disease (MRD).
AREAS COVERED: Its main advantages over tissue biopsy lie in being noninvasive, capable of reflecting tumor heterogeneity and real-time biological changes. These strengths allow liquid biopsy to be applied at different clinical timepoints, including diagnosis, treatment decision-making, evaluation during therapy, detection of resistance, and surveillance for recurrence. Although circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) remains the most established analyte, the scope is broadening to include circulating RNAs, circulating tumor cells, exosomes, DNA methylation signatures, and tumor-educated platelets, each providing complementary insights. A literature search of PubMed, EMBASE, and Web of Science was conducted without restrictions, supplemented by screening reference lists and major oncology conference abstracts.
EXPERT OPINION: While significant progress has been made integrating liquid biopsies in NSCLC, challenges persist, encompassing issues of standardization, cost, and clinical integration.
PMID:41656166 | DOI:10.1080/14737140.2026.2630026
Exp Hematol Oncol. 2026 Feb 7. doi: 10.1186/s40164-026-00755-7. Online ahead of print.
ABSTRACT
Pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) remains among the deadliest cancers, with limited surgical eligibility, modest chemotherapy benefit, and resistance to immune checkpoint blockade. Two recent vaccine platforms have shown encouraging results. Wainberg et al. demonstrated that the amphiphile vaccine ELI-002 efficiently traffics to lymph nodes via albumin binding and induced KRAS-specific T-cell responses in most patients, correlating with survival. In parallel, Sethna et al. reported that an individualized uridine-modified mRNA vaccine elicited durable, polyfunctional CD8⁺ T cells with long-term persistence, especially when combined with PD-1 blockade. Amphiphiles provide rapid and efficient priming, whereas mRNA vaccines broaden and sustain clonotypic diversity. A hybrid prime-boost strategy may synergize these complementary mechanisms, while advances in multi-omics and AI-driven neoantigen prediction pave the way for personalized designs. Together, these developments suggest that PDAC, long regarded as immunologically "cold," may become tractable to vaccination strategies. Importantly, these findings are based on early-phase clinical studies with limited patient numbers and should therefore be interpreted as preliminary clinical evidence requiring further studies.
PMID:41654971 | DOI:10.1186/s40164-026-00755-7
npj Digital Medicine, Published online: 07 February 2026; doi:10.1038/s41746-026-02419-6
People process technology and operations framework for establishing AI governance in healthcare organizationsCancer Med. 2026 Feb;15(2):e71578. doi: 10.1002/cam4.71578.
ABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: Lung cancer remains the leading cause of cancer-related mortality worldwide, highlighting the urgent need for earlier detection within real-world screening and patient management pathways. Recent advances in multi-omics technologies have created new opportunities for identifying biomarkers associated with early-stage lung cancer, particularly in high-risk populations under clinical surveillance.
METHODS: This review systematically evaluates early diagnostic biomarkers across multiple omics layers, including genomics, epigenomics, transcriptomics, proteomics, metabolomics and microbiomics. It also summarises the application of artificial intelligence (AI), particularly machine learning and deep learning approaches, for integrating and analysing complex multi-omics datasets to support biomarker discovery and clinical decision-making.
RESULTS: Multi-omics strategies are accelerating the identification of molecular signatures relevant to early lung cancer detection. AI-driven methods enable the extraction of latent patterns from high-dimensional data, facilitating risk stratification, diagnostic refinement, histological subtyping and treatment planning. The review highlights the clinical utility of these biomarkers and their potential incorporation into screening algorithms, as well as the development of AI-based clinical decision support systems (CDSS) aligned with real-world clinical workflows. However, major barriers to clinical translation remain, including multi-centre data heterogeneity, limited model interpretability affecting clinical trust, regulatory and cost-effectiveness challenges and insufficient validation in prospective cohorts.
CONCLUSIONS: Emerging technologies, such as single-cell and spatial multi-omics, along with federated learning frameworks, offer promising solutions to bridge the gap between computational discovery and clinical implementation. The integration of AI and multi-omics approaches has the potential to advance risk-adapted and personalised early detection strategies for lung cancer.
PMID:41645653 | PMC:PMC12877424 | DOI:10.1002/cam4.71578