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MoBayes: A Modular Bayesian Framework for Separating Reasoning from Language in Conversational Clinical Decision Support

arXiv:2604.20022v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly used for conversational clinical decision support, yet they conflate next token prediction with probabilistic decision making. We argue that this conflation reflects an architectural limitation: such systems lack explicit posterior tracking, controllable abstention thresholds, and auditable reasoning chains. We introduce MoBayes, a Modular Bayesian dialogue framework that separates reasoning from language. The LLM acts only as a language interface, parsing patient conversation into structured observations, while a Bayesian module performs probabilistic inference over these observations to update posteriors, select follow-up questions via expected-information-gain and determine when to stop or defer through calibrated decision thresholds. This design enables explicit posterior tracking, controllable selective decision-making, and replaceable population-specific statistical backends without retraining the language model. Across empirical and LLM-generated knowledge bases, MoBayes outperforms standalone frontier LLM doctors, including matched model-family comparisons where inexpensive sensor models paired with MoBayes exceed larger autonomous models at lower cost. The advantage persists under adversarial patient communication styles and across varying diagnostic scenarios. These results suggest that reliable conversational clinical decision support systems should separate probabilistic reasoning from language generation rather than scaling model size alone. Code is available at https://anonymous.4open.science/r/MoBayes/

Fairness-Aware Partial-label Domain Adaptation for Voice Classification of Parkinson's and ALS

arXiv:2602.18535v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Voice-based digital biomarkers can enable scalable, non-invasive screening and monitoring of Parkinson's disease (PD) and Amyotrophic Lateral Sclerosis (ALS). However, models trained on one cohort or device often fail on new acquisition settings due to cross-device and cross-cohort domain shift. This challenge is amplified in real-world scenarios with partial-label mismatch, where datasets may contain different disease labels and only partially overlap in class space. In addition, voice-based models may exploit demographic cues, raising concerns about gender-related unfairness, particularly when deployed across heterogeneous cohorts. To tackle these challenges, we propose a hybrid framework for unified three-class (healthy/PD/ALS) cross-domain voice classification from partially overlapping cohorts. The method combines style-based domain generalization with conditional adversarial alignment tailored to partial-label settings, reducing negative transfer. An additional adversarial gender branch promotes gender-invariant representations. We conduct a comprehensive evaluation across four heterogeneous sustained-vowel datasets, spanning distinct acquisition settings and devices, under both domain generalization and unsupervised domain adaptation protocols. The proposed approach is compared against twelve state-of-the-art machine learning and deep learning methods, and further evaluated through three targeted ablations, providing the first cross-cohort benchmark and end-to-end domain-adaptive framework for unified healthy/PD/ALS voice classification under partial-label mismatch and fairness constraints. Across all experimental settings, our method consistently achieves the best external generalization over the considered evaluation metrics, while maintaining reduced gender disparities. Notably, no competing method shows statistically significant gains in external performance.
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