arXiv:2605.25394v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Large language models often generate confident but incorrect answers rather than abstaining when uncertain. This problem is particularly acute for small language models (SLMs), where computational constraints and autonomous operation amplify the need for reliable uncertainty detection. We propose _Second Guess_, a lightweight, parameter-free prompting technique for abstention in multiple-choice question answering (MCQA) that is well-suited for SLMs. Our key empirical insight is that models which truly know an answer will select it consistently, while uncertain models exhibit unstable behavior when an ``I don't know'' option is added. Evaluated on four open models (2B-8B parameters) and four benchmarks, Second Guess achieves the highest composite risk improvement of 10.81\%. Notably, it maintains an 8\% composite risk improvement on fine-tuned models where entropy-based methods degrade, and improves most for lower-performing models. All code and results required to reproduce this work is available in https://github.com/Mystic-Slice/second-guess

arXiv:2603.03332v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Chain-of-Thought (CoT) prompting has emerged as a foundational technique for eliciting reasoning from Large Language Models (LLMs), yet the robustness of this approach to corruptions in intermediate reasoning steps remains poorly understood. This paper presents a comprehensive empirical evaluation of LLM robustness to a structured taxonomy of 5 CoT perturbation types: \textit{MathError, UnitConversion, Sycophancy, SkippedSteps,} and \textit{ExtraSteps}. We evaluate 13 models spanning three orders of magnitude in parameter count (3B to 1.5T\footnote{Assumed parameter count of closed models}), testing their ability to complete mathematical reasoning tasks despite perturbations injected at different points in the reasoning chain. Our key findings reveal heterogeneous vulnerability patterns: MathError perturbations produce the most severe degradation in small models (50-60\% accuracy loss) but show strong scaling benefits; UnitConversion remains challenging across all scales (20-30\% loss even for largest models); ExtraSteps incur minimal accuracy degradation (0-6\%) regardless of scale; Sycophancy produces modest effects (7\% loss for small models); and SkippedSteps cause intermediate damage (15\% loss). Scaling relationships follow power-law patterns, with model size serving as a protective factor against some perturbations but offering limited defense against dimensional reasoning tasks. These findings have direct implications for deploying LLMs in multi-stage reasoning pipelines and underscore the necessity of task-specific robustness assessments and mitigation strategies. The code and results are available \href{https://github.com/Mystic-Slice/CoTPerturbation}{here}.