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Calibrated Credit Intelligence: Shift-Robust and Fair Risk Scoring with Bayesian Uncertainty and Gradient Boosting

arXiv:2603.06733v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Credit risk scoring must support high-stakes lending decisions where data distributions change over time, probability estimates must be reliable, and group-level fairness is required. While modern machine learning models improve default prediction accuracy, they often produce poorly calibrated scores under distribution shift and may create unfair outcomes when trained without explicit constraints. This paper proposes Calibrated Credit Intelligence (CCI), a deployment-oriented framework that combines (i) a Bayesian neural risk scorer to capture epistemic uncertainty and reduce overconfident errors, (ii) a fairnessconstrained gradient boosting model to control group disparities while preserving strong tabular performance, and (iii) a shiftaware fusion strategy followed by post-hoc probability calibration to stabilize decision thresholds in later time periods. We evaluate CCI on the Home Credit Credit Risk Model Stability benchmark using a time-consistent split to reflect real-world drift. Compared with strong baselines (LightGBM, XGBoost, CatBoost, TabNet, and a standalone Bayesian neural model), CCI achieves the best overall trade-off between discrimination, calibration, stability, and fairness. In particular, CCI reaches an AUC-ROC of 0.912 and an AUC-PR of 0.438, improves operational performance with Recall@1%FPR = 0.509, and reduces calibration error (Brier score 0.087, ECE 0.015). Under temporal shift, CCI shows a smaller AUC-PR drop from early to late periods (0.017), and it lowers group disparities (demographic parity gap 0.046, equal opportunity gap 0.037) compared to unconstrained boosting. These results indicate that CCI produces risk scores that are accurate, reliable, and more equitable under realistic deployment conditions.
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  • Named Entity Recognition for Payment Data Using NLP Srikumar Nayak
    arXiv:2602.14009v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Named Entity Recognition (NER) has emerged as a critical component in automating financial transaction processing, particularly in extracting structured information from unstructured payment data. This paper presents a comprehensive analysis of state-of-the-art NER algorithms specifically designed for payment data extraction, including Conditional Random Fields (CRF), Bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory with CRF (BiLSTM-CRF), and transformer-ba
     

Named Entity Recognition for Payment Data Using NLP

arXiv:2602.14009v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Named Entity Recognition (NER) has emerged as a critical component in automating financial transaction processing, particularly in extracting structured information from unstructured payment data. This paper presents a comprehensive analysis of state-of-the-art NER algorithms specifically designed for payment data extraction, including Conditional Random Fields (CRF), Bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory with CRF (BiLSTM-CRF), and transformer-based models such as BERT and FinBERT. We conduct extensive experiments on a dataset of 50,000 annotated payment transactions across multiple payment formats including SWIFT MT103, ISO 20022, and domestic payment systems. Our experimental results demonstrate that fine-tuned BERT models achieve an F1-score of 94.2% for entity extraction, outperforming traditional CRF-based approaches by 12.8 percentage points. Furthermore, we introduce PaymentBERT, a novel hybrid architecture combining domain-specific financial embeddings with contextual representations, achieving state-of-the-art performance with 95.7% F1-score while maintaining real-time processing capabilities. We provide detailed analysis of cross-format generalization, ablation studies, and deployment considerations. This research provides practical insights for financial institutions implementing automated sanctions screening, anti-money laundering (AML) compliance, and payment processing systems.
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