arXiv:2603.11001v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Human uplift studies, or studies that measure the effects of AI access on human performance via randomized controlled trials (RCT) or similar methodologies, increasingly inform frontier AI governance and deployment decisions. While RCT methods are robust in other fields, their interaction with the distinctive properties of frontier AI systems remains underexamined, particularly when results are used to inform high-stakes decisions. We present findings from interviews with 16 expert practitioners with experience conducting human uplift studies in domains including biosecurity, cybersecurity, education, and labor. Across interviews, experts described a recurring tension between the standard causal inference assumptions upon which human uplift studies rely and the object of study itself. Rapidly evolving AI systems, shifting baselines, heterogeneous and changing user proficiency, and porous real-world settings strain assumptions underlying internal, external, and construct validity, complicating the interpretation and appropriate use of uplift evidence. We contribute (1) a synthesis of methodological challenges in human uplift studies, mapped to risks to study validity and classified by their degree of specificity to large language model (LLM) systems, and (2) a mapping from challenges to proposed solutions. By collating expert-identified challenges and solutions, we seek to clarify the interpretive limits and appropriate uses of human uplift evidence, to align evaluation practice with the decisions it informs, and to support more coordinated methodological foundations for AI governance.

arXiv:2603.03800v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Academic benchmarks for coding agents tend to reward autonomous task completion, measured by verifiable rewards such as unit-test success. In contrast, real-world coding agents operate with humans in the loop, where success signals are typically noisy, delayed, and sparse. How can we bridge this gap? In this paper, we propose a process to learn a "critic" model from sparse and noisy interaction data, which can then be used both as a reward model for either RL-based training or inference-time scaling. Specifically, we introduce Critic Rubrics, a rubric-based supervision framework with 24 behavioral features that can be derived from human-agent interaction traces alone. Using a semi-supervised objective, we can then jointly predict these rubrics and sparse human feedback (when present). In experiments, we demonstrate that, despite being trained primarily from trace-observable rubrics and sparse real-world outcome proxies, these critics improve best-of-N reranking on SWE-bench (Best@8 +15.9 over Random@8 over the rerankable subset of trajectories), enable early stopping (+17.7 with 83% fewer attempts), and support training-time data curation via critic-selected trajectories.