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A clinically derived lipid-endothelial signature links serum multi-omics to immune exclusion and clinical stratification in hepatocellular carcinoma

2 September 2026 at 18:00

Ther Adv Med Oncol. 2026 Aug 31;18:17588359261481797. doi: 10.1177/17588359261481797. eCollection 2026.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is driven by extensive metabolic reprogramming, vascular remodeling, and immune microenvironmental dysfunction. Although numerous stratification signatures have been proposed, few are grounded in clinically derived serum multi-omics and biologically linked to endothelial remodeling, endothelial regulation, and immune exclusion.

OBJECTIVES: This study aimed to identify a serum-derived lipid-endothelial program associated with immune exclusion and clinical stratification in HCC.

DESIGN: A translational multi-omics study integrating clinically collected serum samples, public transcriptomic cohorts, single-cell RNA sequencing, and experimental validation.

METHODS: Proteomic and metabolomic sequencing was performed on serum samples from patients with HCC and normal controls. Dysregulated pathways were integrated with transcriptomic data from TCGA-LIHC and ICGC-LIRI-JP cohorts to identify genes jointly associated with lipid metabolism and leukocyte transendothelial migration. A risk score was calculated using the expression of PON1, TXNRD1, CLDN4, CLDN6, CYP2C9, and CTSA. Higher expression of TXNRD1, CLDN4, CLDN6, and CTSA contributed to a higher risk score, whereas PON1 and CYP2C9 contributed protective coefficients. Immune contexture, tumor mutation burden, and exploratory therapeutic sensitivity patterns were further evaluated using transcriptome-based drug sensitivity prediction, followed by single-cell RNA sequencing and experimental expression validation.

RESULTS: Serum multi-omics analysis revealed prominent dysregulation of lipid metabolic pathways and leukocyte transendothelial migration-related processes in HCC. Integrative analysis identified a six-gene lipid-endothelial signature (PON1, TXNRD1, CLDN4, CLDN6, CYP2C9, and CTSA) that stratified patients into high- and low-risk groups. In the TCGA-LIHC cohort, high-risk patients had significantly poorer overall survival than low-risk patients (log-rank P < 0.0001), and this survival-stratifying association was externally supported in the ICGC-LIRI-JP cohort (log-rank P = 0.016). The high-risk phenotype was associated with immune-excluded features, distinct somatic mutation patterns, and altered predicted sensitivity to several selected anticancer agents. Single-cell analysis and experimental assays further supported the association between the six-gene program, malignant epithelial states, endothelial-related remodeling, and immune microenvironmental heterogeneity.

CONCLUSION: This study defines a clinically derived lipid-endothelial program associated with immune exclusion, adverse prognosis, and potential differences in therapeutic vulnerability in HCC. The proposed signature provides a biologically informed framework for prognostic assessment and may support future evaluation of targeted interventions in HCC.

PMID:42682961 | PMC:PMC13530516 | DOI:10.1177/17588359261481797

ConfHit: Conformal Generative Design with Oracle Free Guarantees

arXiv:2603.07371v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: The success of deep generative models in scientific discovery requires not only the ability to generate novel candidates but also reliable guarantees that these candidates indeed satisfy desired properties. Recent conformal-prediction methods offer a path to such guarantees, but its application to generative modeling in drug discovery is limited by budget constraints, lack of oracle access, and distribution shift. To this end, we introduce ConfHit, a distribution-free framework that provides validity guarantees under these conditions. ConfHit formalizes two central questions: (i) Certification: whether a generated batch can be guaranteed to contain at least one hit with a user-specified confidence level, and (ii) Design: whether the generation can be refined to a compact set without weakening this guarantee. ConfHit leverages weighted exchangeability between historical and generated samples to eliminate the need for an experimental oracle, constructs multiple-sample density-ratio weighted conformal p-value to quantify statistical confidence in hits, and proposes a nested testing procedure to certify and refine candidate sets of multiple generated samples while maintaining statistical guarantees. Across representative generative molecule design tasks and a broad range of methods, ConfHit consistently delivers valid coverage guarantees at multiple confidence levels while maintaining compact certified sets, establishing a principled and reliable framework for generative modeling.
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