arXiv:2503.07482v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Membership Inference Attacks (MIAs) aim to estimate whether a specific data point was used in the training of a given model. Existing state-of-the-art attacks typically rely on training multiple reference models to approximate the conditional score distribution for individual data points, which leads to significant computational overhead and limits their practical applicability. In this work, we propose a novel approach -- Bayesian Membership Inference Attack (BMIA), which performs conditional attack through Bayesian sampling. Specifically, we apply Laplace approximation to a single reference model to obtain a posterior over model parameters, enabling direct estimation of the conditional score distribution. Theoretically, we demonstrate that Bayesian sampling reduces intra-model variance, thereby improving attack power. This insight naturally motivates the multi-reference variant that further enhances performance when additional reference models are available. Extensive experiments across image, text, and tabular datasets indicate that our method achieves state-of-the-art performance in both effectiveness and efficiency.

arXiv:2604.04339v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Modeling spatial heterogeneity and associated critical transitions remains a fundamental challenge in geography and environmental science. While conventional Geographically Weighted Regression (GWR) and deep learning models have improved predictive skill, they often fail to elucidate state-dependent nonlinearities where the functional roles of drivers represent opposing effects across heterogeneous domains. We introduce a thermodynamics-inspired explainable geospatial AI framework that integrates statistical mechanics with graph neural networks. By conceptualizing spatial variability as a thermodynamic competition between system Burden (E) and Capacity (S), our model disentangles the latent mechanisms driving spatial processes. Using three simulation datasets and three real-word datasets across distinct domains (housing markets, mental health prevalence, and wildfire-induced PM2.5 anomalies), we show that the new framework successfully identifies regime-dependent role reversals of predictors that standard baselines miss. Notably, the framework explicitly diagnoses the phase transition into a Burden-dominated regime during the 2023 Canadian wildfire event, distinguishing physical mechanism shifts from statistical outliers. These findings demonstrate that thermodynamic constraints can improve the interpretability of GeoAI while preserving strong predictive performance in complex spatial systems.

arXiv:2603.20670v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: The rapid growth in the volume, variety, and velocity of geospatial data has created data ecosystems that are highly distributed, heterogeneous, and semantically inconsistent. Existing data catalogs, portals, and infrastructures still rely largely on keyword-based search with limited semantic support, which often fails to capture user intent and leads to weak retrieval performance. To address these challenges, this study proposes a knowledge graph-driven multi-agent framework for intelligent geospatial data discovery, powered by large language models. The framework introduces a unified geospatial metadata ontology as a semantic mediation layer to align heterogeneous metadata standards across platforms and constructs a geospatial metadata knowledge graph to explicitly model datasets and their multidimensional relationships. Building on the structured representation, the framework adopts a multi-agent collaborative architecture to perform intent parsing, knowledge graph retrieval, and answer synthesis, forming an interpretable and closed-loop discovery process from user queries to results. Results from representative use cases and performance evaluation show that the framework substantially improves intent matching accuracy, ranking quality, recall, and discovery transparency compared with traditional systems. This study advances geospatial data discovery toward a more semantic, intent-aware, and intelligent paradigm, providing a practical foundation for next-generation intelligent and autonomous spatial data infrastructures and contributing to the broader vision of Autonomous GIS.