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AlphaForgeBench: Benchmarking End-to-End Trading Strategy Design with Large Language Models

arXiv:2602.18481v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: The rapid advancement of Large Language Models (LLMs) has led to a surge of financial benchmarks, evolving from static knowledge tests to interactive trading simulations. However, current evaluations of real-time trading performance overlook a critical failure mode: severe behavioral instability in sequential decision-making under uncertainty. We empirically show that LLM-based trading agents exhibit extreme run-to-run variance, inconsistent action sequences even under deterministic decoding, and irrational action flipping across adjacent time steps. These issues stem from stateless autoregressive architectures lacking persistent action memory, as well as sensitivity to continuous-to-discrete action mappings in portfolio allocation. As a result, many existing financial trading benchmarks produce unreliable, non-reproducible, and uninformative evaluations. To address these limitations, we propose AlphaForgeBench, a principled framework that reframes LLMs as quantitative researchers rather than execution agents. Instead of emitting trading actions, LLMs generate executable alpha factors and factor-based strategies grounded in financial reasoning. This design decouples reasoning from execution, enabling fully deterministic and reproducible evaluation while aligning with real-world quantitative research workflows. Experiments across multiple state-of-the-art LLMs show that AlphaForgeBench eliminates execution-induced instability and provides a rigorous benchmark for assessing financial reasoning, strategy formulation, and alpha discovery.

Reinforcement Learning-Based Market Making as a Stochastic Control on Non-Stationary Limit Order Book Dynamics

arXiv:2509.12456v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Reinforcement Learning has emerged as a promising framework for developing adaptive and data-driven strategies, enabling market makers to optimize decision-making policies based on interactions with the limit order book environment. This paper explores the integration of a reinforcement learning agent in a market-making context, where the underlying market dynamics have been explicitly modeled to capture observed stylized facts of real markets, including clustered order arrival times, non-stationary spreads and return drifts, stochastic order quantities and price volatility. These mechanisms aim to enhance stability of the resulting control agent, and serve to incorporate domain-specific knowledge into the agent policy learning process. Our contributions include a practical implementation of a market making agent based on the Proximal-Policy Optimization (PPO) algorithm, alongside a comparative evaluation of the agent's performance under varying market conditions via a simulator-based environment. As evidenced by our analysis of the financial return and risk metrics when compared to a closed-form optimal solution, our results suggest that the reinforcement learning agent can effectively be used under non-stationary market conditions, and that the proposed simulator-based environment can serve as a valuable tool for training and pre-training reinforcement learning agents in market-making scenarios.
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