❌

Normal view

  • βœ‡cs.AI, q-bio.NC updates on arXiv.org
  • Generative AI on Wall Street -- Opportunities and Risk Controls Jackie Shen
    arXiv:2509.05841v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: We give an overview on the emerging applications of GenAI in the financial industry, especially within investment banks. Inherent to these exciting opportunities is a new realm of risks that must be managed properly. By heeding both the Yin and Yang sides of GenAI, we can accelerate its organic growth while safeguarding the entire financial industry during this nascent era of AI.
     

Generative AI on Wall Street -- Opportunities and Risk Controls

arXiv:2509.05841v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: We give an overview on the emerging applications of GenAI in the financial industry, especially within investment banks. Inherent to these exciting opportunities is a new realm of risks that must be managed properly. By heeding both the Yin and Yang sides of GenAI, we can accelerate its organic growth while safeguarding the entire financial industry during this nascent era of AI.

Calibrated Credit Intelligence: Shift-Robust and Fair Risk Scoring with Bayesian Uncertainty and Gradient Boosting

arXiv:2603.06733v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Credit risk scoring must support high-stakes lending decisions where data distributions change over time, probability estimates must be reliable, and group-level fairness is required. While modern machine learning models improve default prediction accuracy, they often produce poorly calibrated scores under distribution shift and may create unfair outcomes when trained without explicit constraints. This paper proposes Calibrated Credit Intelligence (CCI), a deployment-oriented framework that combines (i) a Bayesian neural risk scorer to capture epistemic uncertainty and reduce overconfident errors, (ii) a fairnessconstrained gradient boosting model to control group disparities while preserving strong tabular performance, and (iii) a shiftaware fusion strategy followed by post-hoc probability calibration to stabilize decision thresholds in later time periods. We evaluate CCI on the Home Credit Credit Risk Model Stability benchmark using a time-consistent split to reflect real-world drift. Compared with strong baselines (LightGBM, XGBoost, CatBoost, TabNet, and a standalone Bayesian neural model), CCI achieves the best overall trade-off between discrimination, calibration, stability, and fairness. In particular, CCI reaches an AUC-ROC of 0.912 and an AUC-PR of 0.438, improves operational performance with Recall@1%FPR = 0.509, and reduces calibration error (Brier score 0.087, ECE 0.015). Under temporal shift, CCI shows a smaller AUC-PR drop from early to late periods (0.017), and it lowers group disparities (demographic parity gap 0.046, equal opportunity gap 0.037) compared to unconstrained boosting. These results indicate that CCI produces risk scores that are accurate, reliable, and more equitable under realistic deployment conditions.
❌