arXiv:2603.29149v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Access to the most up-to-date information on medical countermeasures is important for the research and development of effective treatments for viruses and marine toxins. However, there is a lack of comprehensive databases that curate data on viruses and marine toxins, making decisions on medical countermeasures slow and difficult. In this work, we employ two large language models (LLMs) of ChatGPT and Grok to design two comprehensive databases of therapeutic countermeasures for five viruses of Lassa, Marburg, Ebola, Nipah, and Venezuelan equine encephalitis, as well as marine toxins. With high-level human-provided inputs, the two LLMs identify public databases containing data on the five viruses and marine toxins, collect relevant information from these databases and the literature, iteratively cross-validate the collected information, and design interactive webpages for easy access to the curated, comprehensive databases. Notably, the ChatGPT LLM is employed to design agentic AI workflows (consisting of two AI agents for research and decision-making) to rank countermeasures for viruses and marine toxins in the databases. Together, our work explores the potential of LLMs as a scalable, updatable approach for building comprehensive knowledge databases and supporting evidence-based decision-making.

arXiv:2603.29399v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Constructing Extract-Load-Transform (ELT) pipelines is a labor-intensive data engineering task and a high-impact target for AI automation. On ELT-Bench, the first benchmark for end-to-end ELT pipeline construction, AI agents initially showed low success rates, suggesting they lacked practical utility. We revisit these results and identify two factors causing a substantial underestimation of agent capabilities. First, re-evaluating ELT-Bench with upgraded large language models reveals that the extraction and loading stage is largely solved, while transformation performance improves significantly. Second, we develop an Auditor-Corrector methodology that combines scalable LLM-driven root-cause analysis with rigorous human validation (inter-annotator agreement Fleiss' kappa = 0.85) to audit benchmark quality. Applying this to ELT-Bench uncovers that most failed transformation tasks contain benchmark-attributable errors -- including rigid evaluation scripts, ambiguous specifications, and incorrect ground truth -- that penalize correct agent outputs. Based on these findings, we construct ELT-Bench-Verified, a revised benchmark with refined evaluation logic and corrected ground truth. Re-evaluating on this version yields significant improvement attributable entirely to benchmark correction. Our results show that both rapid model improvement and benchmark quality issues contributed to underestimating agent capabilities. More broadly, our findings echo observations of pervasive annotation errors in text-to-SQL benchmarks, suggesting quality issues are systemic in data engineering evaluation. Systematic quality auditing should be standard practice for complex agentic tasks. We release ELT-Bench-Verified to provide a more reliable foundation for progress in AI-driven data engineering automation.

arXiv:2603.28809v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Selecting appropriate values for the configurable parameters of Database Management Systems (DBMS) to improve performance is a significant challenge. Recent machine learning (ML)-based tuning systems have shown strong potential, but their practical adoption is often limited by the high tuning cost. This cost arises from two main factors: (1) the system needs to evaluate a large number of configurations to identify a satisfactory one, and (2) for each configuration, the system must execute the entire target workload on the DBMS, which is both time-consuming. Existing studies have primarily addressed the first factor by improving sample efficiency, that is, by reducing the number of configurations evaluated. However, the second factor, improving runtime efficiency by reducing the time required for each evaluation, has received limited attention and remains an underexplored direction. We develop WAter, a runtime-efficient and workload-adaptive tuning system that finds near-optimal configurations at a fraction of the tuning cost compared with state-of-the-art methods. We divide the tuning process into multiple time slices and evaluate only a small subset of queries from the workload in each slice. Different subsets are evaluated across slices, and a runtime profile is used to dynamically identify more representative subsets for evaluation in subsequent slices. At the end of each time slice, the most promising configurations are evaluated on the original workload to measure their actual performance. Evaluations demonstrate that WAter identifies the best-performing configurations with up to 73.5% less tuning time and achieves up to 16.2% higher performance than the best-performing alternative.

arXiv:2603.29041v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Clinical trials are characterized by high costs, extended timelines, and substantial operational risk, yet reliable prospective methods for predicting trial success before initiation remain limited. Existing artificial intelligence approaches often focus on isolated metrics or specific development stages and frequently rely on variables unavailable at the trial design phase, limiting real-world applicability. We present a hierarchical latent risk-aware machine learning framework for prospective prediction of clinical trial operational success using a curated subset of TrialsBank, a proprietary AI-ready database developed by Sorintellis, comprising 13,700 trials. Operational success was defined as the ability to initiate, conduct, and complete a clinical trial according to planned timelines, recruitment targets, and protocol specifications through database lock. This approach decomposes operational success prediction into two modeling stages. First, intermediate latent operational risk factors are predicted using more than 180 drug- and trial-level features available before trial initiation. These predicted latent risks are then integrated into a downstream model to estimate the probability of operational success. A staged data-splitting strategy was employed to prevent information leakage, and models were benchmarked using XGBoost, CatBoost, and Explainable Boosting Machines. Across Phase I-III, the framework achieves strong out-of-sample performance, with F1-scores of 0.93, 0.92, and 0.91, respectively. Incorporating latent risk drivers improves discrimination of operational failures, and performance remains robust under independent inference evaluation. These results demonstrate that clinical trial operational success can be prospectively forecasted using a latent risk-aware AI framework, enabling early risk assessment and supporting data-driven clinical development decision-making.

arXiv:2603.15970v4 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Several data warehouse and database providers have recently introduced extensions to SQL called AI Queries, enabling users to specify functions and conditions in SQL that are evaluated by LLMs, thereby broadening significantly the kinds of queries one can express over the combination of structured and unstructured data. LLMs offer remarkable semantic reasoning capabilities, making them an essential tool for complex and nuanced queries that blend structured and unstructured data. While extremely powerful, these AI queries can become prohibitively costly when invoked thousands of times. This paper provides an extensive evaluation of a recent AI query approximation approach that enables low cost analytics and database applications to benefit from AI queries. The approach delivers >100x cost and latency reduction for the semantic filter operator and also important gains for semantic ranking. The cost and performance gains come from utilizing cheap and accurate proxy models over embedding vectors. We show that despite the massive gains in latency and cost, these proxy models preserve accuracy and occasionally improve accuracy across various benchmark datasets, including the extended Amazon reviews benchmark that has 10M rows. We present an OLAP-friendly architecture within Google BigQuery for this approach for purely online (ad hoc) queries, and a low-latency HTAP database-friendly architecture in AlloyDB that could further improve the latency by moving the proxy model training offline. We present techniques that accelerate the proxy model training.