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Beyond Retrieval: Modeling Confidence Decay and Deterministic Agentic Platforms in Generative Engine Optimization

arXiv:2604.03656v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Generative Engine Optimization (GEO) is rapidly reshaping digital marketing paradigms in the era of Large Language Models (LLMs). However, current GEO strategies predominantly rely on Retrieval-Augmented Generation (RAG), which inherently suffers from probabilistic hallucinations and the "zero-click" paradox, failing to establish sustainable commercial trust. In this paper, we systematically deconstruct the probabilistic flaws of existing RAG-based GEO and propose a paradigm shift towards deterministic multi-agent intent routing. First, we mathematically formulate Semantic Entropy Drift (SED) to model the dynamic decay of confidence curves in LLMs over continuous temporal and contextual perturbations. To rigorously quantify optimization value in black-box commercial engines, we introduce the Isomorphic Attribution Regression (IAR) model, leveraging a Multi-Agent System (MAS) probe with strict human-in-the-loop physical isolation to enforce hallucination penalties. Furthermore, we architect the Deterministic Agent Handoff (DAH) protocol, conceptualizing an Agentic Trust Brokerage (ATB) ecosystem where LLMs function solely as intent routers rather than final answer generators. We empirically validate this architecture using EasyNote, an industrial AI meeting minutes product by Yishu Technology. By routing the intent of "knowledge graph mapping on an infinite canvas" directly to its specialized proprietary agent via DAH, we demonstrate the reduction of vertical task hallucination rates to near zero. This work establishes a foundational theoretical framework for next-generation GEO and paves the way for a well-ordered, deterministic human-AI collaboration ecosystem.

InsTraj: Instructing Diffusion Models with Travel Intentions to Generate Real-world Trajectories

arXiv:2604.04106v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: The generation of realistic and controllable GPS trajectories is a fundamental task for applications in urban planning, mobility simulation, and privacy-preserving data sharing. However, existing methods face a two-fold challenge: they lack the deep semantic understanding to interpret complex user travel intent, and struggle to handle complex constraints while maintaining the realistic diversity inherent in human behavior. To resolve this, we introduce InsTraj, a novel framework that instructs diffusion models to generate high-fidelity trajectories directly from natural language descriptions. Specifically, InsTraj first utilizes a powerful large language model to decipher unstructured travel intentions formed in natural language, thereby creating rich semantic blueprints and bridging the representation gap between intentions and trajectories. Subsequently, we proposed a multimodal trajectory diffusion transformer that can integrate semantic guidance to generate high-fidelity and instruction-faithful trajectories that adhere to fine-grained user intent. Comprehensive experiments on real-world datasets demonstrate that InsTraj significantly outperforms state-of-the-art methods in generating trajectories that are realistic, diverse, and semantically faithful to the input instructions.

InferenceEvolve: Towards Automated Causal Effect Estimators through Self-Evolving AI

arXiv:2604.04274v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Causal inference is central to scientific discovery, yet choosing appropriate methods remains challenging because of the complexity of both statistical methodology and real-world data. Inspired by the success of artificial intelligence in accelerating scientific discovery, we introduce InferenceEvolve, an evolutionary framework that uses large language models to discover and iteratively refine causal methods. Across widely used benchmarks, InferenceEvolve yields estimators that consistently outperform established baselines: against 58 human submissions in a recent community competition, our best evolved estimator lay on the Pareto frontier across two evaluation metrics. We also developed robust proxy objectives for settings without semi-synthetic outcomes, with competitive results. Analysis of the evolutionary trajectories shows that agents progressively discover sophisticated strategies tailored to unrevealed data-generating mechanisms. These findings suggest that language-model-guided evolution can optimize structured scientific programs such as causal inference, even when outcomes are only partially observed.

Domain-Contextualized Inference: A Computable Graph Architecture for Explicit-Domain Reasoning

arXiv:2604.04344v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: We establish a computation-substrate-agnostic inference architecture in which domain is an explicit first-class computational parameter. This produces domain-scoped pruning that reduces per-query search space from O(N) to O(N/K), substrate-independent execution over symbolic, neural, vector, and hybrid substrates, and transparent inference chains where every step carries its evaluative context. The contribution is architectural, not logical. We formalize the computational theory across five dimensions: a five-layer architecture; three domain computation modes including chain indexing, path traversal as Kleisli composition, and vector-guided computation as a substrate transition; a substrate-agnostic interface with three operations Query, Extend, Bridge; reliability conditions C1 to C4 with three failure mode classes; and validation through a PHQ-9 clinical reasoning case study. The computational theory including operational semantics, complexity bounds, monad structure, substrate transitions, and boundary conditions is the contribution of this paper.

APPA: Adaptive Preference Pluralistic Alignment for Fair Federated RLHF of LLMs

arXiv:2604.04261v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Aligning large language models (LLMs) with diverse human preferences requires pluralistic alignment, where a single model must respect the values of multiple distinct groups simultaneously. In federated reinforcement learning from human feedback (FedRLHF), these groups align a shared policy without centralizing preference data, which makes fair reward aggregation essential. Existing aggregation methods exhibit clear trade offs: average based aggregation systematically under aligns worst performing groups, while min aggregation prioritizes worst group performance at the cost of overall alignment. We propose APPA, an Adaptive Preference Pluralistic Alignment framework that dynamically reweights group level rewards based on historical alignment rewards. Our approach prioritizes under aligned groups without degrading well aligned ones, while requiring no access to raw preference data. Integrated into a proximal policy optimization (PPO) based FedRLHF pipeline and evaluated on GLOBALQA and OQA across three model families (Gemma 2 2B, Llama 3.2 3B, Qwen3 0.6B), APPA achieves strong fairness alignment trade offs, improving worst group alignment by up to 28% over average aggregation while maintaining higher overall alignment than min aggregation across most configurations.
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