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AION: Next-Generation Tasks and Practical Harness for Time Series

arXiv:2605.25045v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Time series research is moving beyond fixed forecasting benchmarks toward realistic tasks that combine prediction, contextual reasoning, tool use, and structured decision support. Most benchmarks are built around clean data and short evaluation loops; agents alone may miss temporal constraints, evidence checks, or review before finalizing outputs. We first formalize next-generation time series tasks as three-component tuples consisting of a task file, a workspace, and a validation interface. We then present AION, a time series harness built from six component groups: agents, skills, rules, memory, evaluation, and protocols. In this harness, we use three design principles: temporal grounding, temporal knowledge-grounded reasoning, and reliability mechanisms such as post-experiment analysis and layered review. A Kaggle Store Sales case study shows that the harness produces more detailed process traces, more artifacts, and more review steps than the same base agent operating in OpenCode direct build mode. Taken together, these results argue for a paradigm shift from fixed tasks to realistic ones under real-world constraints.

Beyond the Aggregation Dilemma: Prior-Retaining Decoupled Learning for Multimodal Graphs

arXiv:2605.24684v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Multimodal Attributed Graph Learning (MAGL) integrates intrinsic node attributes with structural topology via graph aggregation. However, as pretrained encoders evolve into Large Foundation Models (LFMs), the landscape of MAGL fundamentally shifts: under high-confidence LFM priors, mandatory aggregation introduces topological noise that overwhelms discriminative signals, triggering a counter-intuitive performance inversion where sophisticated MAGL architectures underperform simple topology-agnostic MLPs. Through systematic empirical and theoretical analysis, we identify that this inversion stems from a fundamental aggregation dilemma characterized by two concurrent pathologies: (1) Representational Pathology (SNR Degradation) - mandatory aggregation dilutes robust intrinsic features with topological noise, causing the noise penalty to outweigh its collaborative benefit; and (2) Optimization Pathology (Gradient Starvation) - topological aggregation attenuates gradient flow, while a shared task loss causes dominant modalities to prematurely suppress weaker ones. To resolve this dilemma, we propose SUPRA (Shared-Unique Prior-Retaining Architecture), a decoupled dual-pathway paradigm. SUPRA processes modality-specific features through topology-agnostic MLPs while capturing structural synergy via a lightweight shared GNN, with auxiliary deep supervision counteracting gradient starvation. Extensive evaluations demonstrate that SUPRA achieves state-of-the-art performance while requiring 3.5x lower peak GPU memory and up to 4.4x faster training time than Multimodal Graph Transformers.
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