Nat Rev Clin Oncol. 2026 Feb 20. doi: 10.1038/s41571-026-01126-1. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Colorectal cancer (CRC) is a heterogeneous malignancy, with various alterations in molecular signalling pathways driving disease progression and resistance to therapy. Liquid biopsy, as a source of circulating tumour DNA (ctDNA), has been utilized to characterize tumour molecular heterogeneity, facilitating the identification of actionable targets for precision medicine-guided therapies and the detection of emerging genomic drivers of drug resistance in patients with metastatic CRC. In addition, liquid biopsy-based analysis of ctDNA has been validated as a tool for detecting minimal residual disease (MRD) following locoregional treatment in patients with localized colon or rectal cancer, offering improved prognostic stratification and supporting the tailoring of adjuvant systemic therapy. Methodological evolution from PCR analysis of a few known mutations in one gene or a small panel of genes to the assessment of hundreds of genes and pathogenic variants by next-generation sequencing has enabled comprehensive genomic profiling (CGP), thereby improving knowledge of cancer molecular complexity at the individual patient level. In this respect, liquid biopsy-based CGP is an easily repeatable and minimally invasive approach that can provide a dynamic portrait of CRC molecular heterogeneity to guide personalized and adaptive treatment based on biomarkers of response and resistance. In this Review, we discuss current and potential roles of liquid biopsy-based ctDNA analysis in the clinical management of metastatic CRC. We also discuss the evidence supporting implementation of liquid biopsy-based assessment of MRD to refine the management of locoregional CRC and potentially improve cure rates while reducing overtreatment of many patients.

PMID:41720942 | DOI:10.1038/s41571-026-01126-1

bioRxiv [Preprint]. 2025 Oct 21:2025.10.20.683167. doi: 10.1101/2025.10.20.683167.

ABSTRACT

Liquid biopsy offers a minimally invasive opportunity to detect and monitor cancers through analysis of cell-free DNA (cfDNA). However, current approaches face challenges of limited sensitivity at low tumor fractions, technical variability, and poor generalization across cohorts. Tumor-informed targeted methods offer high specificity but suffer from low sensitivity due to random sampling, tumor evolution and adaptation (including resistance mechanisms), and other sources of heterogeneity. Conversely, tumor-naive genome-wide methods can increase sensitivity but often sacrifice specificity, particularly at low tumor fractions. We developed Fragmentomics Analysis for Tumor Evaluation with AI (Fate-AI), a multimodal framework that integrates fragmentomic and methylation-derived features from low-pass whole-genome sequencing (LPWGS) and cell-free methylated DNA immunoprecipitation and high-throughput sequencing (cfMeDIP-seq). It employs a knowledge-informed strategy to select recurrently altered genomic regions and tissue-specific methylation loci to combine the advantages of tumor-naive approaches with the specificity of tumor-informed approaches. This approach derives robust per-sample normalized features that mitigate batch effects and enhance cross-cohort reproducibility. We evaluated Fate-AI on a total of 1,219 plasma samples spanning ten cancer types and healthy controls from multiple laboratories and sequencing centers, including 432 newly profiled cases (280 with both cfMeDIP-seq and LPWGS) together with 787 samples from four independent public datasets. Fate-AI achieved superior sensitivity and specificity compared to state-of-the-art methods, detecting tumor-derived signals at fractions as low as 10^-5 in experimental dilutions. Fate-AI scores correlated with disease stage and tracked longitudinal progression, anticipating relapse months before clinical progression. Furthermore, Fate-AI enabled tissue-of-origin classification, with AUCs ranging from 0.84 to 0.97 across six cancer types. Collectively, our results demonstrate that Fate-AI provides a sensitive, generalizable, and clinically actionable platform for early detection, minimal residual disease monitoring, and tissue-of-origin classification, supporting its potential as a liquid biopsy framework in precision oncology.

PMID:41278930 | PMC:PMC12633305 | DOI:10.1101/2025.10.20.683167