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XAI-Refine: An Automated Explanation-Knowledge Loop for Brain-Age Prediction

arXiv:2609.09388v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Brain-age prediction models are commonly evaluated by predictive accuracy, yet accurate predictions alone do not establish that a model relies on reproducible or neurobiologically supported mechanisms. Post-hoc explanation methods can expose these mechanisms, but existing workflows typically stop at diagnosis or require correction targets to be specified before model analysis. We propose XAI-Refine, an automated explanation-knowledge loop for brain-age prediction from resting-state functional connectivity. At each iteration, XAI-Refine consolidates complementary post-hoc analyses across repeated training runs into reliable, structured model explanations. It converts each reliable explanation into a neutral neurobiological question, retrieves and verifies relevant literature, and compiles the verified evidence into an admissible set in the same typed explanation space. The target for refinement is defined as the minimal projection of the current model explanation onto the admissible set induced by applicable verified knowledge. This revised explanation is then translated into a differentiable constraint while preserving the originating model variable, measurement operator, and applicable scope. Candidate updates are promoted only when multi-seed validation confirms target-directed explanatory movement, predictive performance remains within a prespecified guardrail, and non-target explanatory drift remains bounded. Experiments on functional-connectivity-based brain-age prediction evaluate predictive performance, explanation reliability, literature alignment, and target-specific model revision, illustrating a structured route from post-hoc analysis to evidence-guided model refinement.
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MIRAGE: Knowledge Graph-Guided Cross-Cohort MRI Synthesis for Alzheimer's Disease Prediction

arXiv:2603.02434v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Reliable Alzheimer's disease (AD) diagnosis increasingly relies on multimodal assessments combining structural Magnetic Resonance Imaging (MRI) and Electronic Health Records (EHR). However, deploying these models is bottlenecked by modality missingness, as MRI scans are expensive and frequently unavailable in many patient cohorts. Furthermore, synthesizing de novo 3D anatomical scans from sparse, high-dimensional tabular records is technically challenging and poses severe clinical risks. To address this, we introduce MIRAGE, a novel framework that reframes the missing-MRI problem as an anatomy-guided cross-modal latent distillation task. First, MIRAGE leverages a Biomedical Knowledge Graph (KG) and Graph Attention Networks to map heterogeneous EHR variables into a unified embedding space that can be propagated from cohorts with real MRIs to cohorts without them. To bridge the semantic gap and enforce physical spatial awareness, we employ a frozen pre-trained 3D U-Net decoder strictly as an auxiliary regularization engine. Supported by a novel cohort-aggregated skip feature compensation strategy, this decoder acts as a rigorous structural penalty, forcing 1D latent representations to encode biologically plausible, macro-level pathological semantics. By exclusively utilizing this distilled "diagnostic-surrogate" representation during inference, MIRAGE completely bypasses computationally expensive 3D voxel reconstruction. Experiments demonstrate that our framework successfully bridges the missing-modality gap, improving the AD classification rate by 13% compared to unimodal baselines in cohorts without real MRIs.
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