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Scaling Online Complex Event Detection with Synthetic Supervision and Mamba-Based Neural Algorithmic Reasoning

arXiv:2502.07250v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Modern machine learning models excel at detecting individual actions, sounds, or scene attributes from short, localized observations. However, many real-world tasks, such as in smart cities and healthcare, require reasoning over high-level complex events (CEs): spatiotemporal, rule-governed patterns of short-term atomic events (AEs). Complex event detection (CED) is challenging due to long temporal dependencies, generalization beyond the training horizon, sparse CE-level supervision without temporally aligned fine-grained AE labels, and cognitively demanding annotation, as CE labels often depend on ordering, duration, negation, and completion-time semantics. These challenges are further amplified in an online setting that requires causal, streaming inference with limited computation. We identify the primary bottleneck in online CED as learning robust CE rules, and propose a Neural Algorithmic Reasoning framework that decouples rule learning from low-level sensor semantics by (i) generating large-scale synthetic AE-level concept traces to pretrain a Mamba-based CE-rule reasoner, and (ii) introducing an adapter that learns to map raw sensor inputs into the reasoner's latent space using limited, labeled sensor data. We introduce a controlled simulator-generated online multilabel CED testbed built from real-world multimodal sensor clips and rule-generated CE labels, with stress-test settings that vary sensor noise, distribution shift, and the window size used to segment streaming sensor sequences. Experiments on this controlled benchmark show that NAROCE is competitive with the strongest baselines and often outperforms them under these stress tests and longer-horizon generalization, while using 5x fewer labeled sensor sequences and 10-20x fewer FLOPs than all non-Mamba baselines. Code and dataset available at https://github.com/nesl/naroce_dailyoce.
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TS-Skill: A Benchmark for Evaluating Analytical Skills in Time-Series Question Answering

arXiv:2605.24703v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Large language models (LLMs) and time-series language models (TSLMs) are increasingly applied to time-series question answering (TSQA). Unlike text-only QA, TSQA requires models to ground answers in temporal signals whose patterns may occur at different scales, specific time locations, or across separated intervals. However, existing benchmarks are typically organized by task types or high-level reasoning categories, making it difficult to diagnose the underlying signal-level capabilities driving model performance. We introduce TS-Skill, a controlled benchmark for evaluating three composable analytical skills in TSQA: temporal scale selection (SK1), temporal localization (SK2), and cross-interval integration (SK3). TS-Skill provides timestamp-aware questions, broad domain coverage, and human-validated QA quality. To construct the benchmark at scale, we develop SKEvol, a skill-guided agentic framework that combines domain-aware time-series seed generation, skill-controlled question generation, metadata- and code-assisted answer construction, multi-phase signal-grounded verification, and human-in-the-loop curation. Experiments on ten state-of-the-art LLMs and TSLMs reveal substantial and uneven capability gaps across SK1-SK3. In particular, SK3 remains consistently challenging for non-agent models, whereas tool-augmented agents show a selective advantage on standalone SK3. These findings demonstrate that skill-level evaluation can uncover temporal reasoning failures that are obscured by aggregate TSQA scores.
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