arXiv:2602.02605v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Evaluating true metacognition in Large Language Models (LLMs) is difficult due to biases and heuristics. This paper presents a framework to measure and enhance LLM metacognition while controlling for these biases. A measurement method using the $d'_{\rm type2}$ metric is established to isolate metacognitive ability. The Evolution Strategy for Metacognitive Alignment (ESMA) is proposed, demonstrating robust generalization across unseen datasets, languages, and newly acquired knowledge. Finally, parameter analysis reveals that these improvements are driven by a sparse set of parameters, offering new pathways for targeted metacognitive optimization.

npj Digital Medicine, Published online: 10 April 2026; doi:10.1038/s41746-026-02583-9

Predicting bilingual aphasia treatment outcomes using digital twins: a double-blind randomized controlled trial

arXiv:2603.12596v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Proximal policy optimization (PPO) approximates the trust region update using multiple epochs of clipped SGD. Each epoch may drift further from the natural gradient direction, creating path-dependent noise. To understand this drift, we can use Fisher information geometry to decompose policy updates into signal (the natural gradient projection) and waste (the Fisher-orthogonal residual that consumes trust region budget without first-order surrogate improvement). Empirically, signal saturates but waste grows with additional epochs, creating an optimization-depth dilemma. We propose Consensus Aggregation for Policy Optimization (CAPO), which redirects compute from depth to width: $K$ PPO replicates are optimized on the same batch, differing only in minibatch shuffling order, and then aggregated into a consensus. We study aggregation in two spaces: Euclidean parameter space, and the natural parameter space of the policy distribution via the logarithmic opinion pool. In natural parameter space, the consensus provably achieves higher KL-penalized surrogate and tighter trust region compliance than the mean expert; parameter averaging inherits these guarantees approximately. On continuous control tasks, CAPO outperforms PPO and compute-matched deeper baselines under fixed sample budgets by up to 8.6x. CAPO demonstrates that policy optimization can be improved by optimizing wider, rather than deeper, without additional environment interactions.