arXiv:2609.12446v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Social-deduction games such as Werewolf are increasingly used to evaluate LLM agents, but existing evaluations often rely on final game outcomes. We propose a belief-shift evaluation benchmark in Werewolf for analyzing communication skills through belief updating. Using LLM-played games, we annotate suspicion and accusation messages and measure how an observing village-side model's beliefs change after each message. We evaluate 40 open-weight LLM configurations on 1,224 annotated messages. Our results show that larger models better distinguish true wolves from villagers based on game history, but accusations still strongly influence their beliefs. Models become more suspicious of the accused target and less suspicious of the accuser, especially when the accuser is trusted, even if the accuser is wolf-aligned. Larger models better resist accusations from accusers they already distrust. Overall, our findings suggest that current open-weight LLMs up to 120B parameters still struggle to integrate accusation content with source trust in strategic communication. Our benchmark and code are available at https://rlg.iis.sinica.edu.tw/papers/werewolf-accusation-benchmark.

arXiv:2605.24139v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Imperfect-information games (IIGs) are challenging, as players must make decisions without fully observing the true game state. While AlphaZero has achieved remarkable success in perfect-information games, extending it to IIGs remains difficult. Existing search-based approaches, such as Perfect Information Monte Carlo (PIMC), suffer from strategy fusion, while Information Set Monte Carlo Tree Search (IS-MCTS) incurs high computational cost when combined with neural networks. In this paper, we propose Multi-State Aggregated PoLicy Evaluation (MAPLE), a tree search method that aggregates policy and value evaluations from multiple sampled world states within a single search tree, combining the advantages of PIMC and IS-MCTS while maintaining a controllable computational cost. We further incorporate a Siamese-based sampling strategy to select informative world states from the information set. Experiments on Phantom Go and Dark Hex show that MAPLE significantly outperforms the PIMC-based AlphaZero baseline, achieving Elo improvements of 291 and 136, respectively. These results demonstrate that MAPLE is an effective approach for AlphaZero-style learning in imperfect-information games.