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Two-step clinical care pathway to predict MASLD-related advanced fibrosis and long-term outcomes in type 2 diabetes
Gut. 2026 Feb 9;75(3):576-587. doi: 10.1136/gutjnl-2025-337506.
ABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: Current guidelines recommend a two-step approach for risk stratification of metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD), starting with Fibrosis-4 index (FIB-4) followed by liver stiffness measurement (LSM) using vibration-controlled transient elastography (VCTE).
OBJECTIVE: To evaluate this approach for predicting advanced fibrosis and liver-related events (LREs) in patients with type 2 diabetes (T2D).
DESIGN: A prospective liver biopsy cohort of T2D patients with histologically confirmed MASLD from seven centres in China was used to assess diagnostic performance for advanced fibrosis. The international VCTE-Prognosis cohort, including T2D patients with MASLD who underwent VCTE at 16 centres in the USA, Europe and Asia, with longitudinal follow-up, was used to assess LREs, defined as hepatic decompensation or hepatocellular carcinoma.
RESULTS: 4781 participants were included. In the liver biopsy cohort (n=352; 22.2% with advanced fibrosis), applying LSM thresholds of <8 kPa and >12 kPa after FIB-4 classified patients into 63.4% low-risk, 9.4% intermediate-risk and 27.3% high-risk, with a correct classification rate of 71%. In the VCTE-Prognosis cohort (n=4429; median follow-up 51.3 (IQR 27.4-70.7) months), 140 (3.2%) patients developed LREs (110 (2.5%) with hepatic decompensation and 59 (1.3%) with hepatocellular carcinoma). The two-step approach classified 72.6%, 6.8% and 20.6% of patients into low-risk, intermediate-risk and high-risk groups, with corresponding 5-year cumulative LRE incidences of 0.7%, 0.9% and 11.8%. Refining classification of intermediate FIB-4 patients using LSM <10 kPa (low-risk) and >15 kPa (high-risk) reduced the intermediate-risk group to 5.6% while preserving predictive accuracy.
CONCLUSION: The non-invasive two-step approach of FIB-4 followed by LSM effectively stratifies MASLD-related advanced fibrosis and LREs risk in T2D. Applying LSM cut-offs of 10 and 15 kPa further optimises risk stratification for future LREs.
PMID:41911049 | DOI:10.1136/gutjnl-2025-337506
3DCity-LLM: Empowering Multi-modality Large Language Models for 3D City-scale Perception and Understanding
HKDC1-Mediated Polyamine Rewiring Drives Lenvatinib Resistance and Immune Escape in Hepatocellular Carcinoma
Clin Mol Hepatol. 2026 Mar 11. doi: 10.3350/cmh.2025.1269. Online ahead of print.
ABSTRACT
BACKGROUND/AIMS: Lenvatinib resistance and immune exclusion limit outcomes in HCC. We hypothesized that metabolic rewiring orchestrates resistance to lenvatinib and PD-1 blockade.
METHODS: We established LS/LR HCC models and employed multi-omics (proteomics/RNA-seq), ChIP, luciferase, and RIP assays to map HKDC1 regulation. Tumor immunity was profiled by scRNA-seq, mIHC, and flow cytometry. SPD + lenvatinib efficacy was tested in cell lines, patient-derived organoids/xenografts. Tested therapy effect in an immunocompetent hydrodynamic HCC model with hepatocyte-specific Hkdc1 deletion; and analyzed a postoperative cohort (n = 40) treated with lenvatinib + PD-1.
RESULTS: HKDC1, upregulated in LR HCC, was transcriptionally activated by USF1 and promoted SMS-mediated polyamine rewiring. This impaired CD8⁺ T-cell metabolism, reversible by HKDC1 knockdown or spermidine (SPD). SPD synergized with lenvatinib, triggering autophagy and suppressing tumor growth in vitro and in vivo. High HKDC1 predicted poor response and survival in patients receiving lenvatinib + aPD-1.
CONCLUSIONS: A USF1/HKDC1/SMS axis couples polyamine metabolism to immune dysfunction and lenvatinib resistance. HKDC1 is a predictive biomarker and therapeutic node and support polyamine-axis modulation to sensitize HCC to lenvatinib plus PD-1 therapy.
PMID:41812646 | DOI:10.3350/cmh.2025.1269