arXiv:2510.09734v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Weather forecasting is a fundamental task in spatiotemporal data analysis, with broad applications across a wide range of domains. Existing data-driven forecasting methods typically model atmospheric dynamics over a fixed short time interval, e.g., 6 hours, and rely on naive autoregression-based rollout for long-term forecasting, e.g., 5 days. However, this paradigm suffers from two key limitations: (1) it often inadequately models the spatial and multi-scale temporal dependencies inherent in global weather systems, and (2) the rollout strategy struggles to balance error accumulation with the capture of fine-grained atmospheric variations. In this study, we propose ARROW, an Adaptive-Rollout Multi-scale temporal Routing method for Global Weather Forecasting. To contend with the first limitation, we construct a multi-interval forecasting model that forecasts weather across different time intervals. Within the model, the Shared-Private Mixture-of-Experts captures both shared patterns and specific characteristics of atmospheric dynamics across different time scales, while Ring Positional Encoding accurately encodes the circular latitude structure of the Earth when representing spatial information. For the second limitation, we develop an adaptive rollout scheduler based on reinforcement learning, which selects the most suitable time interval to forecast according to the current weather state. Experimental results demonstrate that ARROW achieves state-of-the-art performance in global weather forecasting, establishing a promising paradigm in this field.

arXiv:2603.03714v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: We study a systematic bias in modern image generation models: the mention order of entities in text spuriously determines spatial layout and entity--role binding. We term this phenomenon Order-to-Space Bias (OTS) and show that it arises in both text-to-image and image-to-image generation, often overriding grounded cues and causing incorrect layouts or swapped assignments. To quantify OTS, we introduce OTS-Bench, which isolates order effects with paired prompts differing only in entity order and evaluates models along two dimensions: homogenization and correctness. Experiments show that Order-to-Space Bias (OTS) is widespread in modern image generation models, and provide evidence that it is primarily data-driven and manifests during the early stages of layout formation. Motivated by this insight, we show that both targeted fine-tuning and early-stage intervention strategies can substantially reduce OTS, while preserving generation quality.