arXiv:2603.08267v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Bias in financial language models constitutes a major obstacle to their adoption in real-world applications. Detecting such bias is challenging, as it requires identifying inputs whose predictions change when varying properties unrelated to the decision, such as demographic attributes. Existing approaches typically rely on exhaustive mutation and pairwise prediction analysis over large corpora, which is effective but computationally expensive-particularly for large language models and can become impractical in continuous retraining and releasing processes. Aiming at reducing this cost, we conduct a large-scale study of bias in five financial language models, examining similarities in their bias tendencies across protected attributes and exploring cross-model-guided bias detection to identify bias-revealing inputs earlier. Our study uses approximately 17k real financial news sentences, mutated to construct over 125k original-mutant pairs. Results show that all models exhibit bias under both atomic (0.58\%-6.05\%) and intersectional (0.75\%-5.97\%) settings. Moreover, we observe consistent patterns in bias-revealing inputs across models, enabling substantial reuse and cost reduction in bias detection. For example, up to 73\% of FinMA's biased behaviours can be uncovered using only 20\% of the input pairs when guided by properties derived from DistilRoBERTa outputs.

arXiv:2603.07339v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Deliberative democratic theory suggests that civic competence: the capacity to navigate disagreement, weigh competing values, and arrive at collective decisions is not innate but developed through practice. Yet opportunities to cultivate these skills remain limited, as traditional deliberative processes like citizens' assemblies reach only a small fraction of the population. We present Agora, an early-stage AI-powered platform that uses LLMs to organize authentic human voices on policy issues, helping users build consensus-finding skills by proposing and revising policy recommendations, hearing supporting and opposing perspectives, and receiving feedback on how policy changes affect predicted support. In a preliminary study with 44 university students, participants using the full interface (with access to voice explanations) reported higher levels of problem-solving skills, internal deliberation, and produced higher quality consensus statements compared to a control condition showing only aggregate support distributions. These initial findings point toward a promising direction for scaling civic education.

arXiv:2603.01396v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Single-cell perturbation studies face dual heterogeneity bottlenecks: (i) semantic heterogeneity--identical biological concepts encoded under incompatible metadata schemas across datasets; and (ii) statistical heterogeneity--distribution shifts from biological variation demanding dataset-specific inductive biases. We propose HarmonyCell, an end-to-end agent framework resolving each challenge through a dedicated mechanism: an LLM-driven Semantic Unifier autonomously maps disparate metadata into a canonical interface without manual intervention; and an adaptive Monte Carlo Tree Search engine operates over a hierarchical action space to synthesize architectures with optimal statistical inductive biases for distribution shifts. Evaluated across diverse perturbation tasks under both semantic and distribution shifts, HarmonyCell achieves a 95% valid execution rate on heterogeneous input datasets (versus 0% for general agents) while matching or even exceeding expert-designed baselines in rigorous out-of-distribution evaluations. This dual-track orchestration enables scalable automatic virtual cell modeling without dataset-specific engineering.

arXiv:2310.02195v4 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Automated guided vehicles (AGVs) are widely used in various industries, and scheduling and routing them in a conflict-free manner is crucial to their efficient operation. We propose a loop-based algorithm that solves the online, conflict-free scheduling and routing problem for AGVs with any capacity and ordered jobs in loop-based graphs. The proposed algorithm is compared against an exact method, a greedy heuristic and a metaheuristic. We experimentally show, using theoretical and real instances on a model representing a real manufacturing plant, that this algorithm either outperforms the other algorithms or gets an equally good solution in less computing time.

arXiv:2510.17088v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Financial anomalies arise from heterogeneous mechanisms -- price shocks, liquidity freezes, contagion cascades, and momentum reversals -- yet existing detectors produce uniform scores without revealing which mechanism is failing. This hinders targeted responses: liquidity freezes call for market-making support, whereas price shocks call for circuit breakers. Three key challenges remain: (1) static graphs cannot adapt when correlations shift across regimes; (2) uniform detectors overlook heterogeneous anomaly signatures; and (3) black-box scores provide no actionable guidance on driving mechanisms. We address these challenges with an adaptive graph learning framework that embeds interpretability architecturally rather than post hoc. The framework constructs stress-modulated graphs that adaptively interpolate between known sector and geographic relationships and data-driven correlations as market conditions evolve. Anomalies are decomposed via four mechanism-specific experts -- Price-Shock, Liquidity, Systemic-Contagion, and Momentum-Reversal -- each capturing a distinct anomaly channel documented in the financial economics literature. The resulting routing weights serve as interpretable proxies for mechanism attribution, with their relative values indicating each anomaly's primary driving mechanism. A hierarchical Market Pressure Index aggregates entity-level anomaly scores into graduated market-wide alerts. On 100 U.S. equities (2017-2024), the framework detects all six major stress events with a 3.7-day mean lead time, outperforming baselines by +33 percentage points, with AUC 0.888 and AP 0.626. Case studies on SVB (March 2023) and Japan carry-trade unwind (August 2024) demonstrate that routing weights automatically distinguish localized from systemic crises without labeled supervision.

arXiv:2602.00037v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: In this work, we propose to apply a new model fusion and learning paradigm, known as Combinatorial Fusion Analysis (CFA), to the field of Bitcoin price prediction. Price prediction of financial product has always been a big topic in finance, as the successful prediction of the price can yield significant profit. Every machine learning model has its own strength and weakness, which hinders progress toward robustness. CFA has been used to enhance models by leveraging rank-score characteristic (RSC) function and cognitive diversity in the combination of a moderate set of diverse and relatively well-performed models. Our method utilizes both score and rank combinations as well as other weighted combination techniques. Key metrics such as RMSE and MAPE are used to evaluate our methodology performance. Our proposal presents a notable MAPE performance of 0.19\%. The proposed method greatly improves upon individual model performance, as well as outperforms other Bitcoin price prediction models.

arXiv:2602.00086v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: This paper addresses stock price movement prediction by leveraging LLM-based news sentiment analysis. Earlier works have largely focused on proposing and assessing sentiment analysis models and stock movement prediction methods, however, separately. Although promising results have been achieved, a clear and in-depth understanding of the benefit of the news sentiment to this task, as well as a comprehensive assessment of different architecture types in this context, is still lacking. Herein, we conduct an evaluation study that compares 3 different LLMs, namely, DeBERTa, RoBERTa and FinBERT, for sentiment-driven stock prediction. Our results suggest that DeBERTa outperforms the other two models with an accuracy of 75% and that an ensemble model that combines the three models can increase the accuracy to about 80%. Also, we see that sentiment news features can benefit (slightly) some stock market prediction models, i.e., LSTM-, PatchTST- and tPatchGNN-based classifiers and PatchTST- and TimesNet-based regression tasks models.

arXiv:2603.04663v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Standard Retrieval-Augmented Generation (RAG) architectures fail in high-stakes financial domains due to two fundamental limitations: the inherent arithmetic incompetence of Large Language Models (LLMs) and the distributional semantic conflation of dense vector retrieval (e.g., mapping "Net Income" to "Net Sales" due to contextual proximity). In deterministic domains, a 99% accuracy rate yields 0% operational trust. To achieve zero-hallucination financial reasoning, we introduce the Verifiable Numerical Reasoning Agent (VeNRA). VeNRA shifts the RAG paradigm from retrieving probabilistic text to retrieving deterministic variables via a strictly typed Universal Fact Ledger (UFL). We mathematically bound this ledger using a novel Double-Lock Grounding algorithm. Coupled with deterministic Python execution, this neuro-symbolic routing compresses systemic hallucination rates to a near-zero 1.2%. Recognising that upstream parsing anomalies inevitably occur, we introduce the VeNRA Sentinel: a 3-billion parameter SLM trained to forensically audit candidate using a single-token inference budget with optional post-hoc reasoning. To train the Sentinel, we steer away from traditional hallucination datasets in favour of Adversarial Simulation, programmatically sabotaging financial records to simulate Ecological Errors. The compact Sentinel consequently outperforms 70B+ frontier models in error detection. Through Loss Dilution phenomenon in Reverse-CoT training, we present a novel Micro-Chunking loss algorithm to stabilise gradients under extreme verdict penalisation, yielding a 28x latency speedup without sacrificing forensic rigor.