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When Drafts Evolve: Speculative Decoding Meets Online Learning

arXiv:2603.12617v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Speculative decoding has emerged as a widely adopted paradigm for accelerating large language model inference, where a lightweight draft model rapidly generates candidate tokens that are then verified in parallel by a larger target model. However, due to limited model capacity, drafts often struggle to approximate the target distribution, resulting in shorter acceptance lengths and diminished speedup. A key yet under-explored observation is that speculative decoding inherently provides verification feedback that quantifies the deviation between the draft and target models at no additional cost. This process naturally forms an iterative "draft commits-feedback provides-draft adapts" evolving loop, which precisely matches the online learning paradigm. Motivated by this connection, we propose OnlineSpec, a unified framework that systematically leverages interactive feedback to continuously evolve draft models. Grounded in dynamic regret minimization, we establish a formal link between online learning performance and speculative system's acceleration rate, and develop novel algorithms via modern online learning techniques, including optimistic online learning that adaptively reuses historical gradients as predictive update hints, and online ensemble learning that dynamically maintains multiple draft models. Our algorithms are equipped with theoretical justifications and improved acceleration rates, achieving up to 24% speedup over seven benchmarks and three foundation models.
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Thinking in Streaming Video

arXiv:2603.12938v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Real-time understanding of continuous video streams is essential for interactive assistants and multimodal agents operating in dynamic environments. However, most existing video reasoning approaches follow a batch paradigm that defers reasoning until the full video context is observed, resulting in high latency and growing computational cost that are incompatible with streaming scenarios. In this paper, we introduce ThinkStream, a framework for streaming video reasoning based on a Watch--Think--Speak paradigm that enables models to incrementally update their understanding as new video observations arrive. At each step, the model performs a short reasoning update and decides whether sufficient evidence has accumulated to produce a response. To support long-horizon streaming, we propose Reasoning-Compressed Streaming Memory (RCSM), which treats intermediate reasoning traces as compact semantic memory that replaces outdated visual tokens while preserving essential context. We further train the model using a Streaming Reinforcement Learning with Verifiable Rewards scheme that aligns incremental reasoning and response timing with the requirements of streaming interaction. Experiments on multiple streaming video benchmarks show that ThinkStream significantly outperforms existing online video models while maintaining low latency and memory usage. Code, models and data will be released at https://github.com/johncaged/ThinkStream
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