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Mitigating "Epistemic Debt" in Generative AI-Scaffolded Novice Programming using Metacognitive Scripts

arXiv:2602.20206v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: The democratization of Large Language Models has given rise to vibe coding, where novice programmers prioritize semantic intent over syntactic implementation. Without pedagogical guardrails, we argue this is fundamentally misaligned with cognitive skill acquisition. Drawing on Kirschner's distinction between cognitive offloading and outsourcing, unrestricted AI encourages novices to outsource the intrinsic cognitive load required for schema formation rather than merely offloading extraneous load. This accumulation of epistemic debt creates fragile experts: developers whose high functional utility masks critically low corrective competence. To quantify and mitigate this debt, we conducted a between-subjects experiment (N=78) using a custom Cursor IDE plugin backed by Claude 3.5 Sonnet. Participants were recruited via Prolific and UserInterviews.com to represent AI-native learners. We compared three conditions: manual (control), unrestricted AI (outsourcing), and scaffolded AI (offloading). The scaffolded condition employed a novel Explanation Gate -- a real-time LLM-as-a-Judge framework enforcing a teach-back protocol before generated code could be integrated. Results reveal a collapse of competence: both AI groups significantly outperformed the manual control on functional utility (p
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Real-Time Driver Safety Scoring Through Inverse Crash Probability Modeling

arXiv:2603.14841v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Road crashes remain a leading cause of preventable fatalities. Existing prediction models predominantly produce binary outcomes, which offer limited actionable insights for real-time driver feedback. These approaches often lack continuous risk quantification, interpretability, and explicit consideration of vulnerable road users (VRUs), such as pedestrians and cyclists. This research introduces SafeDriver-IQ, a framework that transforms binary crash classifiers into continuous 0-100 safety scores by combining national crash statistics with naturalistic driving data from autonomous vehicles. The framework fuses National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA) crash records with Waymo Open Motion Dataset scenarios, engineers domain-informed features, and incorporates a calibration layer grounded in transportation safety literature. Evaluation across 15 complementary analyses indicates that the framework reliably differentiates high-risk from low-risk driving conditions with strong discriminative performance. Findings further reveal that 87% of crashes involve multiple co-occurring risk factors, with non-linear compounding effects that increase the risk to 4.5x baseline. SafeDriver-IQ delivers proactive, explainable safety intelligence relevant to advanced driver-assistance systems (ADAS), fleet management, and urban infrastructure planning. This framework shifts the focus from reactive crash counting to real-time risk prevention.
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