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Improving Ensemble Forecasts of Abnormally Deflecting Tropical Cyclones with Fused Atmosphere-Ocean-Terrain Data

arXiv:2603.29200v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Deep learning-based tropical cyclone (TC) forecasting methods have demonstrated significant potential and application advantages, as they feature much lower computational cost and faster operation speed than numerical weather prediction models. However, existing deep learning methods still have key limitations: they can only process a single type of sequential trajectory data or homogeneous meteorological variables, and fail to achieve accurate forecasting of abnormal deflected TCs. To address these challenges, we present two groundbreaking contributions. First, we have constructed a multimodal and multi-source dataset named AOT-TCs for TC forecasting in the Northwest Pacific basin. As the first dataset of its kind, it innovatively integrates heterogeneous variables from the atmosphere, ocean, and land, thus obtaining a comprehensive and information-rich meteorological dataset. Second, based on the AOT-TCs dataset, we propose a forecasting model that can handle both normal and abnormally deflected TCs. This is the first TC forecasting model to adopt an explicit atmosphere-ocean-terrain coupling architecture, enabling it to effectively capture complex interactions across physical domains. Extensive experiments on all TC cases in the Northwest Pacific from 2017 to 2024 show that our model achieves state-of-the-art performance in TC forecasting: it not only significantly improves the forecasting accuracy of normal TCs but also breaks through the technical bottleneck in forecasting abnormally deflected TCs.
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IMAGAgent: Orchestrating Multi-Turn Image Editing via Constraint-Aware Planning and Reflection

arXiv:2603.29602v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Existing multi-turn image editing paradigms are often confined to isolated single-step execution. Due to a lack of context-awareness and closed-loop feedback mechanisms, they are prone to error accumulation and semantic drift during multi-turn interactions, ultimately resulting in severe structural distortion of the generated images. For that, we propose \textbf{IMAGAgent}, a multi-turn image editing agent framework based on a "plan-execute-reflect" closed-loop mechanism that achieves deep synergy among instruction parsing, tool scheduling, and adaptive correction within a unified pipeline. Specifically, we first present a constraint-aware planning module that leverages a vision-language model (VLM) to precisely decompose complex natural language instructions into a series of executable sub-tasks, governed by target singularity, semantic atomicity, and visual perceptibility. Then, the tool-chain orchestration module dynamically constructs execution paths based on the current image, the current sub-task, and the historical context, enabling adaptive scheduling and collaborative operation among heterogeneous operation models covering image retrieval, segmentation, detection, and editing. Finally, we devise a multi-expert collaborative reflection mechanism where a central large language model (LLM) receives the image to be edited and synthesizes VLM critiques into holistic feedback, simultaneously triggering fine-grained self-correction and recording feedback outcomes to optimize future decisions. Extensive experiments on our constructed \textbf{MTEditBench} and the MagicBrush dataset demonstrate that IMAGAgent achieves performance significantly superior to existing methods in terms of instruction consistency, editing precision, and overall quality. The code is available at https://github.com/hackermmzz/IMAGAgent.git.
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FERA: A Pose-Based Framework for Rule-Grounded Multimedia Decision Support with a Foil Fencing Case Study

arXiv:2509.18527v5 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Multimedia decision support requires more than recognition; it requires explicit state estimates that can be checked against rules, audited by humans, and consumed by downstream decision logic. We present the FEncing Referee Assistant (FERA), a pose-based framework for this setting, and study it through foil fencing, where decisions depend on fast bilateral motion and right-of-way rules. The framework separates canonical participant tracking, kinematic tokenization, calibrated temporal perception, a compact structured decision layer, and an explanation-oriented retrieval interface. We also release an audited benchmark with adjudicated labels and fixed folds for reproducible evaluation. Under a shared protocol, a lightweight lifted-depth sidecar strengthens the best graph-based perception model, while a compact structured classifier on the fixed two-dimensional token stream reaches 0.624 accuracy and a 0.632 macro-averaged F1 score on the final Left / Right / None decision. The case study supports a broader design lesson: keep the boundary between perception and rule application explicit, preserve uncertainty, and choose the perception front end according to the downstream operating point.
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