arXiv:2603.29176v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Parkinson's disease (PD) affects over ten million people worldwide. Although temporal interference (TI) and deep brain stimulation (DBS) are promising therapies, inter-individual variability limits empirical treatment selection, increasing non-negligible surgical risk and cost. Previous explorations either resort to limited statistical biomarkers that are insufficient to characterize variability, or employ AI-driven methods which is prone to overfitting and opacity. We bridge this gap with a pretraining-finetuning framework to predict outcomes directly from resting-state fMRI. Critically, a generative virtual brain foundation model, pretrained on a collective dataset (2707 subjects, 5621 sessions) to capture universal disorder patterns, was finetuned on PD cohorts receiving TI (n=51) or DBS (n=55) to yield individualized virtual brains with high fidelity to empirical functional connectivity (r=0.935). By constructing counterfactual estimations between pathological and healthy neural states within these personalized models, we predicted clinical responses (TI: AUPR=0.853; DBS: AUPR=0.915), substantially outperforming baselines. External and prospective validations (n=14, n=11) highlight the feasibility of clinical translation. Moreover, our framework provides state-dependent regional patterns linked to response, offering hypothesis-generating mechanistic insights.

arXiv:2603.29206v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Routing is widely used to scale large language models, from Mixture-of-Experts gating to multi-model/tool selection. A common belief is that routing to a task ``expert'' activates sparser internal computation and thus yields more certain and stable outputs (the Sparsity--Certainty Hypothesis). We test this belief by injecting routing-style meta prompts as a textual proxy for routing signals in front of frozen instruction-tuned LLMs. We quantify (C1) internal density via activation sparsity, (C2) domain-keyword attention, and (C3) output stability via predictive entropy and semantic variation. On a RouterEval subset with three instruction-tuned models (Qwen3-8B, Llama-3.1-8B-Instruct, and Mistral-7B-Instruct-v0.2), meta prompts consistently densify early/middle-layer representations rather than increasing sparsity; natural-language expert instructions are often stronger than structured tags. Attention responses are heterogeneous: Qwen/Llama reduce keyword attention, while Mistral reinforces it. Finally, the densification--stability link is weak and appears only in Qwen, with near-zero correlations in Llama and Mistral. We present RIDE as a diagnostic probe for calibrating routing design and uncertainty estimation.