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Optimizing Geoengineering Interventions Using Differentiable Climate Models

arXiv:2609.12528v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: The deployment of a geoengineering program to cool Earth's climate may be imminent. It is crucial that tools be developed to ensure that such a program would achieve its objectives while minimizing disruption. Here we exploit recently developed differentiable atmospheric models to demonstrate a novel geoengineering control strategy. In the differentiable primitive-equation atmospheric model JAX-GCM we impose a uniform $+4$\,K ocean warming and ask what pattern of sea-surface temperature cooling -- in five ocean-masked zonal bands of prescribed SST forcings whose amplitudes are free -- returns land near-surface air temperature closest to the model's own unwarmed climatology. This idealized set-up represents a cooling pattern that could be delivered physically either by marine cloud brightening or stratospheric aerosol injection. Gradients through chaotic dynamics decorrelate from the true sensitivity beyond the Lyapunov horizon, so we optimize greedily over segments of 8 to 14 days, following receding-horizon control. The learned strategy removes $92.3 \pm 0.4\%$ of the realized land warming across a ten-member ensemble of two-year rollouts, and a three-year run sustains it. If we use the spatial pattern of land temperature as the optimization objective, the distributions of precipitation, evaporation, and specific humidity over land are restored as well, even though they are not included in the objective function. The learned strategy from JAX-GCM replayed in the AI emulators LUCIE and NeuralGCM without re-optimization is successful, suggesting robustness. These promising results demonstrate a strategy for designing optimal climate interventions that can be applied broadly for geoengineering scenarios under consideration.
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Diffusion learning reveals viable parameter manifolds and compensation geometry in biological dynamical systems

arXiv:2607.03671v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Models of complex systems often have many parameters, yet are constrained by far fewer experimentally accessible observables; consequently, similar activity can emerge from coordinated parameter changes. We formalize these compatible parameter sets as \emph{viable parameter manifolds}: the inverse images of target dynamical features under a parameter-to-feature map. The relevant codimension is not the number of reported features, but the effective rank of that map at the target scale. Locally redundant features lower the effective codimension, while poor conditioning, high curvature, or regime mixing degrade learnability. We train conditional score-based diffusion models on simulated parameter--feature pairs and use them as amortized samplers of prior-weighted viable sets. In the Lorenz system, scalar trajectory statistics generate thin viable sheets, and a finite-tolerance conditioning localizes a transition-adjacent corridor. In the Izhikevich neuron model, four firing descriptors lie close to a nearly two-dimensional family of features, and the learned inverse images reveal distinct regular and irregular compensation geometries. In a deterministic ODE reduction of finite spiking networks, the same framework reveals excitatory--inhibitory compensation, timescale--coupling tradeoffs, and viable manifolds across 4--12 parameter dimensions. In this view, robustness, compensation, and hidden parameter dependencies are organized as inverse geometry, with diffusion models providing practical tools for sampling, visualizing, and interrogating that geometry.
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