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Factors Influencing Continuance Intention for Online Consultations Among Survivors of Cancer: Grounded Theory Study

Background: Online consultation platforms have become an important component of survivorship care for patients with cancer, offering flexible access to oncology expertise between scheduled visits. However, evidence on what drives the willingness of survivors of cancer to continue using online consultations after initial adoption remains limited in China. A better understanding of continuance intention is needed to inform survivor-centered digital health strategies. Objective: This study aimed to explore the influencing factors of continued use of online consultations among survivors of cancer in southwest China and develop a grounded theoretical model explaining continuance intention. Methods: A grounded theory qualitative design was used. A total of 26 adult survivors of cancer with diverse demographic and clinical characteristics were purposively recruited from a tertiary cancer center in southwest China. All participants had used online consultations at least once in the preceding year. Semistructured telephone interviews were audio recorded; transcribed verbatim; and analyzed using open, axial, and selective coding with constant comparison until theoretical saturation was reached. During selective coding, categories and their relationships were integrated and iteratively refined to construct a grounded theoretical model of continuance intention. Results: Six interrelated domains influenced survivors’ continued use of online consultation platforms: platform quality, physician competence, user perception, individual condition, external context, and privacy concerns. Platform quality and physician competence influenced user perception of usefulness, reassurance, and trust, which functioned as a mediator of continued use. Individual condition, including health status, health literacy, and psychological needs, influenced both perceived usefulness and reliance on online consultations. External context, especially family encouragement, peer recommendations, and availability of local oncology services, directly facilitated or constrained continued use. Privacy concerns moderated how survivors balanced perceived benefits against risks of data misuse, stigma, and unwanted disclosure of cancer history. Survivors described online consultations as offering rapid guidance and emotional support that complemented hospital-based care but reported discontinuation when interactions were delayed or impersonal or when perceived privacy risks outweighed the benefits. Conclusions: The willingness of survivors of cancer to continue using online consultation platforms depends on multiple interrelated factors beyond traditional technological usability. Sustained engagement is shaped by survivors’ perceptions of usefulness and trust, physician empathy and timeliness, family encouragement, and acceptance of privacy trade-offs. The theoretical model advances understanding of digital health continuance in oncology and offers practical guidance for developing survivor-centered online consultation services.
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  • STAT+: AI Prognosis readers’ predictions for health AI in 2026. What’s on your bingo card? Brittany Trang
    You’re reading the web edition of STAT’s AI Prognosis newsletter, our subscriber-exclusive guide to artificial intelligence in health care and medicine. Sign up to get it delivered in your inbox every Wednesday.  Hope you had a great holiday season. I’m starting off the year in Las Vegas at the Consumer Electronics Show. So far I’ve seen a 3D printer for chocolate and two different brands of fedora-wearing robots; I’ve also learned that Napster is back (and is really into AI music now). If yo
     

STAT+: AI Prognosis readers’ predictions for health AI in 2026. What’s on your bingo card?

7 January 2026 at 23:46

You’re reading the web edition of STAT’s AI Prognosis newsletter, our subscriber-exclusive guide to artificial intelligence in health care and medicine. Sign up to get it delivered in your inbox every Wednesday. 

Hope you had a great holiday season. I’m starting off the year in Las Vegas at the Consumer Electronics Show. So far I’ve seen a 3D printer for chocolate and two different brands of fedora-wearing robots; I’ve also learned that Napster is back (and is really into AI music now). If you’re around, let me know!

Also, if you like a lil game as a treat during the day: STAT’s mini crossword is now daily! Check it out here.

Continue to STAT+ to read the full story…

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Adaptive therapy for perioperative non-small cell lung cancer: strategies guided by dynamic minimal residual disease adjustment

Transl Oncol. 2026 Jan 6;64:102660. doi: 10.1016/j.tranon.2025.102660. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

Lung cancer remains the leading cause of cancer incidence and mortality worldwide, with non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) accounting for about 85% of cases. The low rate of early diagnosis and the high rate of occult metastases limit the survival benefits of conventional treatments. The current TNM staging system fails to fully reflect tumor heterogeneity or the dynamic molecular evolution of the disease, thus affecting the prediction of recurrence and the prognostic stratification. Some recent advances in minimal residual disease (MRD) detection, such as ultra-sensitive liquid biopsy technologies, have largely overcome the limitations of traditional imaging and offered a transformative approach for continuous, precision-based management of lung cancer. This review systematically summarized the technological evolution of MRD detection and highlighted its clinical significance in guiding adaptive therapy for NSCLC, including treatment escalation, de-escalation, and the emerging concept of precision-guided drug holidays. Moreover, the authors comprehensively discussed the "Four-Dimensional TNMB Staging System," which incorporates continuous molecular monitoring to address the static limitations of conventional staging and enhance the accuracy of prognostic stratification. Although ongoing challenges, such as the lack of standardized interpretation criteria and limited detection sensitivity, the combinations with the third-generation liquid biopsy platforms, multi-omics analyses, and multi-center prospective validation studies are expected to advance the clinical implementation of MRD-guided strategies. The paradigm change will enable the transition of NSCLC management from conventional standardized models to a precision-guided, closed-loop system of "monitoring-intervention-remonitoring," establishing a solid theoretical and practical foundation for comprehensive, molecularly driven management strategies.

PMID:41496417 | DOI:10.1016/j.tranon.2025.102660

The Path Ahead for Agentic AI: Challenges and Opportunities

arXiv:2601.02749v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: The evolution of Large Language Models (LLMs) from passive text generators to autonomous, goal-driven systems represents a fundamental shift in artificial intelligence. This chapter examines the emergence of agentic AI systems that integrate planning, memory, tool use, and iterative reasoning to operate autonomously in complex environments. We trace the architectural progression from statistical models to transformer-based systems, identifying capabilities that enable agentic behavior: long-range reasoning, contextual awareness, and adaptive decision-making. The chapter provides three contributions: (1) a synthesis of how LLM capabilities extend toward agency through reasoning-action-reflection loops; (2) an integrative framework describing core components perception, memory, planning, and tool execution that bridge LLMs with autonomous behavior; (3) a critical assessment of applications and persistent challenges in safety, alignment, reliability, and sustainability. Unlike existing surveys, we focus on the architectural transition from language understanding to autonomous action, emphasizing the technical gaps that must be resolved before deployment. We identify critical research priorities, including verifiable planning, scalable multi-agent coordination, persistent memory architectures, and governance frameworks. Responsible advancement requires simultaneous progress in technical robustness, interpretability, and ethical safeguards to realize potential while mitigating risks of misalignment and unintended consequences.
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  • Causal-Enhanced AI Agents for Medical Research Screening Duc Ngo · Arya Rahgoza
    arXiv:2601.02814v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Systematic reviews are essential for evidence-based medicine, but reviewing 1.5 million+ annual publications manually is infeasible. Current AI approaches suffer from hallucinations in systematic review tasks, with studies reporting rates ranging from 28--40% for earlier models to 2--15% for modern implementations which is unacceptable when errors impact patient care. We present a causal graph-enhanced retrieval-augmented generation system integ
     

Causal-Enhanced AI Agents for Medical Research Screening

arXiv:2601.02814v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Systematic reviews are essential for evidence-based medicine, but reviewing 1.5 million+ annual publications manually is infeasible. Current AI approaches suffer from hallucinations in systematic review tasks, with studies reporting rates ranging from 28--40% for earlier models to 2--15% for modern implementations which is unacceptable when errors impact patient care. We present a causal graph-enhanced retrieval-augmented generation system integrating explicit causal reasoning with dual-level knowledge graphs. Our approach enforces evidence-first protocols where every causal claim traces to retrieved literature and automatically generates directed acyclic graphs visualizing intervention-outcome pathways. Evaluation on 234 dementia exercise abstracts shows CausalAgent achieves 95% accuracy, 100% retrieval success, and zero hallucinations versus 34% accuracy and 10% hallucinations for baseline AI. Automatic causal graphs enable explicit mechanism modeling, visual synthesis, and enhanced interpretability. While this proof-of-concept evaluation used ten questions focused on dementia exercise research, the architectural approach demonstrates transferable principles for trustworthy medical AI and causal reasoning's potential for high-stakes healthcare.

AI-exposed jobs deteriorated before ChatGPT

arXiv:2601.02554v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Public debate links worsening job prospects for AI-exposed occupations to the release of ChatGPT in late 2022. Using monthly U.S. unemployment insurance records, we measure occupation- and location-specific unemployment risk and find that risk rose in AI-exposed occupations beginning in early 2022, months before ChatGPT. Analyzing millions of LinkedIn profiles, we show that graduate cohorts from 2021 onward entered AI-exposed jobs at lower rates than earlier cohorts, with gaps opening before late 2022. Finally, from millions of university syllabi, we find that graduates taking more AI-exposed curricula had higher first-job pay and shorter job searches after ChatGPT. Together, these results point to forces pre-dating generative AI and to the ongoing value of LLM-relevant education.

PatentMind: A Multi-Aspect Reasoning Graph for Patent Similarity Evaluation

arXiv:2505.19347v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Patent similarity evaluation plays a critical role in intellectual property analysis. However, existing methods often overlook the intricate structure of patent documents, which integrate technical specifications, legal boundaries, and application contexts. We introduce PatentMind, a novel framework for patent similarity assessment based on a Multi-Aspect Reasoning Graph (MARG). PatentMind decomposes patents into their three dimensions of technical features, application domains, and claim scopes, then dimension-specific similarity scores are calculated over the MARG. These scores are dynamically weighted through a context-aware reasoning process, which integrates contextual signals to emulate expert-level judgment. To support evaluation, we construct a human-annotated benchmark PatentSimBench, comprising 500 patent pairs. Experimental results demonstrate that the PatentMind-generated scores show a strong correlation ($r=0.938$) with expert annotations, significantly outperforming embedding-based models, patent-specific models, and advanced prompt engineering methods. Beyond computational linguistics, our framework provides a structured and semantically grounded foundation for real-world decision-making, particularly for tasks such as infringement risk assessment, underscoring its broader impact on both patent analytics and evaluation.

Organoids in translation: a bench-to-bedside framework for pancreatic cancer precision medicine

J Transl Med. 2026 Jan 6. doi: 10.1186/s12967-025-07596-8. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: Pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) is one of the most lethal malignancies with a 5-year survival rate of < 13%. Standard treatments such as FOLFIRINOX or gemcitabine/nab-paclitaxel yield modest response rates, underscoring the urgent need for precision oncology approaches. Patient-derived organoids (PDOs) preserve the genomic, phenotypic, and histopathological features of the source tumor and offer a promising platform for drug screening, biomarker development, and personalized therapy. However, a systematic evaluation of their translational capacities is lacking.

METHODS: A systematic review was conducted according to the PRISMA 2020 guidelines (PROSPERO registration pending) using PubMed, EMBASE, and Cochrane CENTRAL (December 10, 2024) to identify English-language PDAC PDO studies that incorporated therapeutic testing. Ninety-five studies met the inclusion criteria. Data extraction captured >75 variables per study, including spanning culture methodology, therapeutic profiling, biomarker integration, and clinical correlation. A 13-domain weighted Translatability Scoring Framework adapted from Wehling et al. assessed predictive validity, biomarker strength, pharmacogenetics, and clinical trial alignment. Scores ranged from 0 to 5 and were categorized as good (>4.0), moderate (3.0-4.0), or low (<3.0) translational potential.

RESULTS: Of the 95 studies, 70.5% have been published since 2021, reflecting the rapid growth in this field. The mean PDO generation success rate was 89.7%, with the primary tumor tissue being the predominant source (48.4%). Only 24.8% were directly linked to clinical trials and 5.3% incorporated multi-omic profiling. The median translatability score was 3.13 (range, 1.72-4.59): 45.3% of the studies had low translatability, 50.5% moderate, and only 4.2% had good translational potential. High-scoring studies consistently combine multi-omic biomarker platforms, in vivo validation, clinical outcome correlation, and prospective trial integration. Conversely, the weakest domains were pharmacogenetics, endpoint strategies, and biomarker validation, limiting their overall clinical relevance.

CONCLUSIONS: PDOs have demonstrated strong feasibility and in vitro clinical correlation in PDAC; however, their clinical translation remains constrained by limited multi-omic integration, absence of pharmacogenomic modeling, and sparse clinical trial embedding. Standardization of protocols, adoption of harmonized and clinically relevant endpoints, and systematic incorporation of biomarker-driven co-clinical trial frameworks are urgently needed to transition PDOs from promising experimental surrogates to validating precision oncology tools capable of informing therapeutic decision-making in PDAC.

PMID:41495743 | DOI:10.1186/s12967-025-07596-8

Establishment and Optimization of a Patient-Reported Outcome–Based Electronic-Diary for Symptoms Evaluation in Patients With Gastroesophageal Reflux Disorder: Prospective Cohort Study

Background: Gastroesophageal reflux disease (GERD) symptoms significantly affect patients’ quality of life. Patient-reported outcome (PRO) instruments for symptoms measurement in GERD patients is advocated by regulatory authority. Current tools for GERD symptoms evaluation are limited and the results can be biased by the recall bias. To better characterize the GERD symptoms, an e-diary was developed for daily GERD symptom monitoring. Objective: To build up and optimize a PRO-based e-diary, and to investigate the effect of symptom frequency on adherence. Methods: The GERD e-diary evaluated 8 daytime (acid regurgitation, cough, heartburn, sour taste in the mouth, hiccups, hoarseness, dysphagia, and chest pain) and 2 nighttime symptoms (acid regurgitation and cough) for consecutive 8 weeks. The adherence of e-diary, defined as daily completing rate of e-diary, was evaluated and optimized from First Stage to Third Stage with no reminder implemented in First Stage, sending reminding SMS (Short Message Service) text messaging upon detecting missing data in Second Stage (no reminder during the first 3 to 5 days after enrollment), and immediate installation of reminding system at enrollment in Third Stage. GERD symptom frequency was obtained by summation of the symptomatic days in each week. A multiple regression analysis was performed to examine the effects of system optimization and GERD symptom frequency on patient adherence, while controlling for potential confounding variables. Results: 138 GERD patients (M/F=70/68; age: mean 52.9, SD 12.3 years) were recruited. At First Stage, the adherence was 47.2%, 40% and 57.6% for nighttime, daytime and overall symptom. System optimization significantly improved adherence with increased adherence of nighttime symptoms by 12.5% (P=.005) and 10.9% (P=.01), daytime symptom by 21.7% (P

STAT+: FDA announces sweeping changes to oversight of wearables, AI-enabled devices

7 January 2026 at 04:49

LAS VEGAS — The Food and Drug Administration announced Tuesday that it will ease regulation of digital health products, following through on the Trump administration’s promises to deregulate artificial intelligence and promote its widespread use.

FDA Commissioner Marty Makary indicated that one of the agency’s priorities is fostering an environment that’s good for investors, and that FDA regulation needs to move “at Silicon Valley speed.” He announced the changes during an address to conference attendees at the Consumer Electronics Show.

The agency will soften its approach to the regulation of clinical decision support software, which include AI-enabled products that help doctors navigate diagnoses and treatment options. The agency previously considered products that delivered a single recommendation as FDA-regulated medical devices. Now, those products can enter the market without FDA review as long as they fulfill the agency’s other criteria for escaping regulation. 

Continue to STAT+ to read the full story…

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California lawmaker proposes a four-year ban on AI chatbots in kids’ toys

7 January 2026 at 04:22
“Our children cannot be used as lab rats for Big Tech to experiment on,” Senator Steve Padilla said. He just introduced a bill to ban AI chatbots in toys until safety regulations are developed.  

The role of PCMT1 in prognosis tumor immune microenvironment and therapeutic responses across cancers

Discov Oncol. 2026 Jan 5. doi: 10.1007/s12672-025-04366-2. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Emerging evidence highlights the overexpression of Protein-L-isoaspartate (D-aspartate) O-methyltransferase (PCMT1) in multiple malignancies. However, its pan-cancer prognostic significance, tumor immune microenvironment (TIME) interactions, and therapeutic implications remain underexplored.

METHODS: Multi-omics data were integrated from UCSC Xena, GTEx, UALCAN, and published cohorts. PCMT1 expression patterns were systematically analyzed across 33 cancer types. Associations between PCMT1 and clinical outcomes, immune infiltration, immune checkpoint genes (ICGs), tumor mutation burden (TMB), microsatellite instability (MSI), and drug sensitivity were evaluated using bioinformatics pipelines.

RESULTS: Our pan-cancer analysis revealed differential expression patterns of PCMT1 across various malignancies, with significant upregulation in 20 cancer types and downregulation in 3 cancer types. Notably, PCMT1 overexpression was predominantly observed in epithelial-origin tumors, such as ACC (adrenocortical carcinoma), BRCA (breast invasive carcinoma), COAD (colon adenocarcinoma), and LUAD (lung adenocarcinoma). Survival analysis demonstrated that elevated PCMT1 expression was significantly correlated with unfavorable prognosis in multiple epithelial tumors, particularly in BRCA, esophageal carcinoma (ESCA), head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSC), liver hepatocellular carcinoma (LIHC), and mesothelioma (MESO). Furthermore, comprehensive analysis identified significant associations between PCMT1 expression and various tumor microenvironment features, including immune scores, six distinct immune cell types, four immunosuppressive cell populations, cancer-associated fibroblasts (CAFs)-related markers, and immunosuppressive factors. PCMT1 expression also showed significant correlations with tumor mutation burden (TMB), microsatellite instability (MSI), DNA stemness score (DNAss), and RNA stemness score (RNAss). Particularly noteworthy was the strong positive correlation between PCMT1 expression and CAFs infiltration, along with their associated factors. These findings were further validated in independent immunotherapy cohorts, where PCMT1 consistently demonstrated immunosuppressive characteristics.

CONCLUSION: Multi-omics analysis suggests that PCMT1 may serve as a potential prognostic biomarker and a novel immunotherapy target for pan-cancer.

PMID:41491065 | DOI:10.1007/s12672-025-04366-2

PRIME: an interpretable artificial intelligence model based on liquid biopsy improves prediction of progression risk in non-small cell lung cancer

Mil Med Res. 2026 Jan 6;12(1):94. doi: 10.1186/s40779-025-00679-z.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Despite the predictive impact of circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) minimal residual disease (MRD), accurate prediction of failure risk after curative-intent treatments for early-stage or localized non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) patients to guide personalized therapy remains challenging. This study aimed to develop and validate an interpretable artificial intelligence-assisted model using global data resources.

METHODS: Liquid biopsy data, blood-based genomic alterations, clinicopathological features, and survival outcomes of stage I-III NSCLC patients who underwent surgery or definitive chemoradiotherapy were collected from 6 cohorts. PRIME (Progression Risk prediction by Interpretable Machine learning on ctDNA-MRD, Mutations, and clinical-therapeutic features) was trained by 6 machine learning algorithms across 4 cohorts and validated in 2 independent cohorts. Model performance was evaluated by the area under the curve (AUC) and interpreted by SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP). Whole-exome sequencing (WES) or whole-genome sequencing (WGS) of tumor tissue from 430 stage II-III NSCLC patients and RNA-sequencing (RNA-seq) data from 1149 subjects, sourced from The Cancer Genome Atlas, were used to validate the prognostic effect of mutations identified in peripheral blood and investigate the underlying mechanisms.

RESULTS: A global dataset encompassing 781 blood samples from 493 patients was analyzed. Clinical stage, pre-treatment ctDNA, post-treatment MRD, blood-based Kelch-like ECH-associated protein 1 (KEAP1), serine/threonine kinase 11 (STK11), and cyclin-dependent kinase inhibitor 2A (CDKN2A) mutations, and treatment modality were significantly associated with the risk of disease progression and were thereby included in the model training. WES/WGS and RNA-seq confirmed the poor prognostic effect of KEAP1, STK11, and CDKN2A mutations, which were characterized by the suppressive tumor microenvironment and attenuated humoral immunity. The neural network (NN) model exhibited optimal prediction of treatment failure risk in the training (AUC = 0.85, 95% CI 0.81-0.89) and validation sets (AUC = 0.82, 95% CI 0.74-0.89). SHAP analysis indicated that MRD (+0.306), treatment modality (+0.128), and pre-treatment ctDNA (+0.043) ranked in the top 3 contributions. NN-PRIME outperformed single liquid biopsy biomarkers and clinical-therapeutic signatures, and demonstrated consistent robustness across different clinical scenarios. High-risk patients identified by NN-PRIME had poorer prognoses but derived significant benefits from adjuvant therapy after surgery.

CONCLUSIONS: As an interpretable model integrating readily-accessible and crucial clinical-genomic predictors, PRIME achieves enhanced performance, allowing for early outcome prediction, refined risk stratification, and personalized clinical decision-making.

PMID:41491583 | PMC:PMC12771999 | DOI:10.1186/s40779-025-00679-z

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  • STAT+: AI has finally started making drug-like antibodies. When will it revolutionize biopharma? Brittany Trang
    One day, probably in the next year or two, a company will claim it has put the first artificial-intelligence-designed antibody in the clinic. But the industry is divided on what “AI-designed” really means, and how close we are to the technology truly being able to design a medicine. What exactly does it mean for an antibody to be designed by AI? There are two schools of thought among the antibody and protein AI researchers STAT interviewed. For some, if a computer designs the basic antibody s
     

STAT+: AI has finally started making drug-like antibodies. When will it revolutionize biopharma?

6 January 2026 at 17:30

One day, probably in the next year or two, a company will claim it has put the first artificial-intelligence-designed antibody in the clinic. But the industry is divided on what “AI-designed” really means, and how close we are to the technology truly being able to design a medicine.

What exactly does it mean for an antibody to be designed by AI? There are two schools of thought among the antibody and protein AI researchers STAT interviewed. For some, if a computer designs the basic antibody sequence that scientists later tweak to make a clinical candidate, that counts as “AI-designed.” Others say that to be truly AI-designed, an antibody should be ready to go straight into the clinic from the computer, no further lab work needed — a much higher bar to clear. 

In 2025, researchers made it clear that AI can meet the first, easier definition of making an “AI-designed” antibody. But while some startups claim to be making antibodies that are ready to go straight into the clinic, and despite investors shoveling more money into AI-native biotechs at higher valuations compared to traditional biotech startups, even pharma and antibody experts embracing AI find it hard to believe that de novo protein design AI models can meet or beat traditional techniques.

Continue to STAT+ to read the full story…

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Agentic AI for Autonomous, Explainable, and Real-Time Credit Risk Decision-Making

arXiv:2601.00818v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Significant digitalization of financial services in a short period of time has led to an urgent demand to have autonomous, transparent and real-time credit risk decision making systems. The traditional machine learning models are effective in pattern recognition, but do not have the adaptive reasoning, situational awareness, and autonomy needed in modern financial operations. As a proposal, this paper presents an Agentic AI framework, or a system where AI agents view the world of dynamic credit independent of human observers, who then make actions based on their articulable decision-making paths. The research introduces a multi-agent system with reinforcing learning, natural language reasoning, explainable AI modules, and real-time data absorption pipelines as a means of assessing the risk profiles of borrowers with few humans being involved. The processes consist of agent collaboration protocol, risk-scoring engines, interpretability layers, and continuous feedback learning cycles. Findings indicate that decision speed, transparency and responsiveness is better than traditional credit scoring models. Nevertheless, there are still some practical limitations such as risks of model drift, inconsistencies in interpreting high dimensional data and regulatory uncertainties as well as infrastructure limitations in low-resource settings. The suggested system has a high prospective to transform credit analytics and future studies ought to be directed on dynamic regulatory compliance mobilizers, new agent teamwork, adversarial robustness, and large-scale implementation in cross-country credit ecosystems.

Can We Trust AI Explanations? Evidence of Systematic Underreporting in Chain-of-Thought Reasoning

arXiv:2601.00830v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: When AI systems explain their reasoning step-by-step, practitioners often assume these explanations reveal what actually influenced the AI's answer. We tested this assumption by embedding hints into questions and measuring whether models mentioned them. In a study of over 9,000 test cases across 11 leading AI models, we found a troubling pattern: models almost never mention hints spontaneously, yet when asked directly, they admit noticing them. This suggests models see influential information but choose not to report it. Telling models they are being watched does not help. Forcing models to report hints works, but causes them to report hints even when none exist and reduces their accuracy. We also found that hints appealing to user preferences are especially dangerous-models follow them most often while reporting them least. These findings suggest that simply watching AI reasoning is not enough to catch hidden influences.

Accelerating Monte-Carlo Tree Search with Optimized Posterior Policies

arXiv:2601.01301v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: We introduce a recursive AlphaZero-style Monte--Carlo tree search algorithm, "RMCTS". The advantage of RMCTS over AlphaZero's MCTS-UCB is speed. In RMCTS, the search tree is explored in a breadth-first manner, so that network inferences naturally occur in large batches. This significantly reduces the GPU latency cost. We find that RMCTS is often more than 40 times faster than MCTS-UCB when searching a single root state, and about 3 times faster when searching a large batch of root states. The recursion in RMCTS is based on computing optimized posterior policies at each game state in the search tree, starting from the leaves and working back up to the root. Here we use the posterior policy explored in "Monte--Carlo tree search as regularized policy optimization" (Grill, et al.) Their posterior policy is the unique policy which maximizes the expected reward given estimated action rewards minus a penalty for diverging from the prior policy. The tree explored by RMCTS is not defined in an adaptive manner, as it is in MCTS-UCB. Instead, the RMCTS tree is defined by following prior network policies at each node. This is a disadvantage, but the speedup advantage is more significant, and in practice we find that RMCTS-trained networks match the quality of MCTS-UCB-trained networks in roughly one-third of the training time. We include timing and quality comparisons of RMCTS vs. MCTS-UCB for three games: Connect-4, Dots-and-Boxes, and Othello.

Digital Twin AI: Opportunities and Challenges from Large Language Models to World Models

arXiv:2601.01321v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Digital twins, as precise digital representations of physical systems, have evolved from passive simulation tools into intelligent and autonomous entities through the integration of artificial intelligence technologies. This paper presents a unified four-stage framework that systematically characterizes AI integration across the digital twin lifecycle, spanning modeling, mirroring, intervention, and autonomous management. By synthesizing existing technologies and practices, we distill a unified four-stage framework that systematically characterizes how AI methodologies are embedded across the digital twin lifecycle: (1) modeling the physical twin through physics-based and physics-informed AI approaches, (2) mirroring the physical system into a digital twin with real-time synchronization, (3) intervening in the physical twin through predictive modeling, anomaly detection, and optimization strategies, and (4) achieving autonomous management through large language models, foundation models, and intelligent agents. We analyze the synergy between physics-based modeling and data-driven learning, highlighting the shift from traditional numerical solvers to physics-informed and foundation models for physical systems. Furthermore, we examine how generative AI technologies, including large language models and generative world models, transform digital twins into proactive and self-improving cognitive systems capable of reasoning, communication, and creative scenario generation. Through a cross-domain review spanning eleven application domains, including healthcare, aerospace, smart manufacturing, robotics, and smart cities, we identify common challenges related to scalability, explainability, and trustworthiness, and outline directions for responsible AI-driven digital twin systems.

Beyond Gemini-3-Pro: Revisiting LLM Routing and Aggregation at Scale

arXiv:2601.01330v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Large Language Models (LLMs) have rapidly advanced, with Gemini-3-Pro setting a new performance milestone. In this work, we explore collective intelligence as an alternative to monolithic scaling, and demonstrate that open-source LLMs' collaboration can surpass Gemini-3-Pro. We first revisit LLM routing and aggregation at scale and identify three key bottlenecks: (1) current train-free routers are limited by a query-based paradigm focusing solely on textual similarity; (2) recent aggregation methods remain largely static, failing to select appropriate aggregators for different tasks;(3) the complementarity of routing and aggregation remains underutilized. To address these problems, we introduce JiSi, a novel framework designed to release the full potential of LLMs' collaboration through three innovations: (1) Query-Response Mixed Routing capturing both semantic information and problem difficulty; (2) Support-Set-based Aggregator Selection jointly evaluating the aggregation and domain capacity of aggregators; (3) Adaptive Routing-Aggregation Switch dynamically leveraging the advantages of routing and aggregation. Comprehensive experiments on nine benchmarks demonstrate that JiSi can surpass Gemini-3-Pro with only 47% costs by orchestrating ten open-source LLMs, while outperforming mainstream baselines. It suggests that collective intelligence represents a novel path towards Artificial General Intelligence (AGI).
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