arXiv:2601.00217v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Singing voice synthesis (SVS) aims to generate natural and expressive singing waveforms from symbolic musical scores. In cVAE-based SVS, however, a mismatch arises because the decoder is trained with latent representations inferred from target singing signals, while inference relies on latent representations predicted only from conditioning inputs. This discrepancy can weaken fine expressive acoustic details in the synthesized output. To mitigate this issue, we propose FM-Singer, a flow-matching-based latent refinement framework for cVAE-based singing voice synthesis. Rather than redesigning the acoustic decoder, the proposed method learns a continuous vector field that transports inference-time latent samples toward posterior-like latent representations through ODE-based integration before waveform generation. Because the refinement is performed in latent space, the method remains lightweight and compatible with a strong parallel synthesis backbone. Experimental results on Korean and Chinese singing datasets show that the proposed latent refinement improves objective metrics and perceptual quality while maintaining practical synthesis efficiency. These results suggest that reducing training-inference latent mismatch is a useful direction for improving expressive singing voice synthesis. Code, pre-trained checkpoints, and audio demos are available at https://github.com/alsgur9368/FM-Singer.

arXiv:2510.07231v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Socio-economic causal effects depend heavily on their specific institutional and environmental context. A single intervention can produce opposite results depending on regulatory or market factors, contexts that are often complex and only partially observed. This poses a significant challenge for large language models (LLMs) in decision-support roles: can they distinguish structural causal mechanisms from surface-level correlations when the context changes? To address this, we introduce EconCausal, a large-scale benchmark comprising 10,490 context-annotated causal triplets extracted from 2,595 high-quality empirical studies published in top-tier economics and finance journals. Through a rigorous four-stage pipeline combining multi-run consensus, context refinement, and multi-critic filtering, we ensure each claim is grounded in peer-reviewed research with explicit identification strategies. Our evaluation reveals critical limitations in current LLMs' context-dependent reasoning. While top models achieve approximately 88 percent accuracy in fixed, explicit contexts, performance drops sharply under context shifts, with a 32.6 percentage point decline, and falls to 37 percent when misinformation is introduced. Furthermore, models exhibit severe over-commitment in ambiguous cases and struggle to recognize null effects, achieving only 9.5 percent accuracy, exposing a fundamental gap between pattern matching and genuine causal reasoning. These findings underscore substantial risks for high-stakes economic decision-making, where the cost of misinterpreting causality is high. The dataset and benchmark are publicly available at https://github.com/econaikaist/econcausal-benchmark.