arXiv:2603.12500v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: We present a Temporal Rule-Anchored Chain-of-Evidence (TRACE) on knowledge graphs for interpretable stock movement prediction that unifies symbolic relational priors, dynamic graph exploration, and LLM-guided decision making in a single end-to-end pipeline. The approach performs rule-guided multi-hop exploration restricted to admissible relation sequences, grounds candidate reasoning chains in contemporaneous news, and aggregates fully grounded evidence into auditable \texttt{UP}/\texttt{DOWN} verdicts with human-readable paths connecting text and structure. On an S\&P~500 benchmark, the method achieves 55.1\% accuracy, 55.7\% precision, 71.5\% recall, and 60.8\% F1, surpassing strong baselines and improving recall and F1 over the best graph baseline under identical evaluation. The gains stem from (i) rule-guided exploration that focuses search on economically meaningful motifs rather than arbitrary walks, and (ii) text-grounded consolidation that selectively aggregates high-confidence, fully grounded hypotheses instead of uniformly pooling weak signals. Together, these choices yield higher sensitivity without sacrificing selectivity, delivering predictive lift with faithful, auditably interpretable explanations.

arXiv:2509.21553v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Climate data science remains constrained by fragmented data sources, heterogeneous formats, and steep technical expertise requirements. These barriers slow discovery, limit participation, and undermine reproducibility. We present AutoClimDS, a Minimum Viable Product (MVP) Agentic AI system that addresses these challenges by integrating a curated climate knowledge graph (KG) with a set of Agentic AI workflows designed for cloud-native scientific analysis. The KG unifies datasets, metadata, tools, and workflows into a machine-interpretable structure, while AI agents, powered by generative models, enable natural-language query interpretation, automated data discovery, programmatic data acquisition, and end-to-end climate analysis. A key result is that AutoClimDS can reproduce published scientific figures and analyses from natural-language instructions alone, completing the entire workflow from dataset selection to preprocessing to modeling. When given the same tasks, state-of-the-art general-purpose LLMs (e.g., ChatGPT GPT-5.1) cannot independently identify authoritative datasets or construct valid retrieval workflows using standard web access. This highlights the necessity of structured scientific memory for agentic scientific reasoning. By encoding procedural workflow knowledge into a KG and integrating it with existing technologies (cloud APIs, LLMs, sandboxed execution), AutoClimDS demonstrates that the KG serves as the essential enabling component, the irreplaceable structural foundation, for autonomous climate data science. This approach provides a pathway toward democratizing climate research through human-AI collaboration.

arXiv:2406.14815v5 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Geological parameterization entails the representation of a geomodel using a small set of latent variables and a mapping from these variables to grid-block properties such as porosity and permeability. Parameterization is useful for data assimilation (history matching), as it maintains geological realism while reducing the number of variables to be determined. Diffusion models are a new class of generative deep-learning procedures that have been shown to outperform previous methods, such as generative adversarial networks, for image generation tasks. Diffusion models are trained to "denoise", which enables them to generate new geological realizations from input fields characterized by random noise. Latent diffusion models, which are the specific variant considered in this study, provide dimension reduction through use of a low-dimensional latent variable. The model developed in this work includes a variational autoencoder for dimension reduction and a U-net for the denoising process. Our application involves conditional 2D three-facies (channel-levee-mud) systems. The latent diffusion model is shown to provide realizations that are visually consistent with samples from geomodeling software. Quantitative metrics involving spatial and flow-response statistics are evaluated, and general agreement between the diffusion-generated models and reference realizations is observed. Stability tests are performed to assess the smoothness of the parameterization method. The latent diffusion model is then used for ensemble-based data assimilation. Two synthetic "true" models are considered. Significant uncertainty reduction, posterior P$_{10}$-P$_{90}$ forecasts that generally bracket observed data, and consistent posterior geomodels, are achieved in both cases. PLEASE CITE AS: 10.1016/j.cageo.2024.105755 https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0098300424002383 NOT WITH THE ARXIV VERSION

arXiv:2601.00150v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: FCMBench is the first large-scale and privacy-compliant multimodal benchmark for real-world financial credit applications, covering tasks and robustness challenges from domain specific workflows and constraints. The current version of FCMBench covers 26 certificate types, with 5198 privacy-compliant images and 13806 paired VQA samples. It evaluates models on Perception and Reasoning tasks under real-world Robustness interferences, including 3 foundational perception tasks, 4 credit-specific reasoning tasks demanding decision-oriented visual evidence interpretation, and 10 real-world challenges for rigorous robustness stress testing. Moreover, FCMBench offers privacy-compliant realism with minimal leakage risk through in-house scenario-aware captures of manually synthesized templates, without any publicly released images. We conduct extensive evaluations of 28 state-of-the-art vision-language models spanning 14 AI companies and research institutes. Among them, Gemini 3 Pro achieves the best F1 score as a commercial model (65.16), Kimi-K2.5 achieves the best score as an open-source baseline (60.58). The mean and the std. of all tested models is 44.8 and 10.3 respectively, indicating that FCMBench is non-trivial and provides strong resolution for separating modern vision-language model capabilities. Robustness evaluations reveal that even top-performing models experience notable performance degradation under the designed challenges. We have open-sourced this benchmark to advance AI research in the credit domain and provide a domain-specific task for real-world AI applications.