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The Missing Layer of AGI: From Pattern Alchemy to Coordination Physics

arXiv:2512.05765v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Influential critiques argue that Large Language Models (LLMs) are a dead end for AGI: "mere pattern matchers" structurally incapable of reasoning or planning. We argue this conclusion misidentifies the bottleneck: it confuses the ocean with the net. Pattern repositories are the necessary System-1 substrate; the missing component is a System-2 coordination layer that selects, constrains, and binds these patterns. We formalize this layer via UCCT, a theory of semantic anchoring that models reasoning as a phase transition governed by effective support (rho_d), representational mismatch (d_r), and an adaptive anchoring budget (gamma log k). Under this lens, ungrounded generation is simply an unbaited retrieval of the substrate's maximum likelihood prior, while "reasoning" emerges when anchors shift the posterior toward goal-directed constraints. We translate UCCT into architecture with MACI, a coordination stack that implements baiting (behavior-modulated debate), filtering (Socratic judging), and persistence (transactional memory). By reframing common objections as testable coordination failures, we argue that the path to AGI runs through LLMs, not around them.
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XR-DT: Extended Reality-Enhanced Digital Twin for Agentic Mobile Robots

arXiv:2512.05270v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: As mobile robots increasingly operate alongside humans in shared workspaces, ensuring safe, efficient, and interpretable Human-Robot Interaction (HRI) has become a pressing challenge. While substantial progress has been devoted to human behavior prediction, limited attention has been paid to how humans perceive, interpret, and trust robots' inferences, impeding deployment in safety-critical and socially embedded environments. This paper presents XR-DT, an eXtended Reality-enhanced Digital Twin framework for agentic mobile robots, that bridges physical and virtual spaces to enable bi-directional understanding between humans and robots. Our hierarchical XR-DT architecture integrates virtual-, augmented-, and mixed-reality layers, fusing real-time sensor data, simulated environments in the Unity game engine, and human feedback captured through wearable AR devices. Within this framework, we design an agentic mobile robot system with a unified diffusion policy for context-aware task adaptation. We further propose a chain-of-thought prompting mechanism that allows multimodal large language models to reason over human instructions and environmental context, while leveraging an AutoGen-based multi-agent coordination layer to enhance robustness and collaboration in dynamic tasks. Initial experimental results demonstrate accurate human and robot trajectory prediction, validating the XR-DT framework's effectiveness in HRI tasks. By embedding human intention, environmental dynamics, and robot cognition into the XR-DT framework, our system enables interpretable, trustworthy, and adaptive HRI.
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Simulating Life Paths with Digital Twins: AI-Generated Future Selves Influence Decision-Making and Expand Human Choice

arXiv:2512.05397v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Major life transitions demand high-stakes decisions, yet people often struggle to imagine how their future selves will live with the consequences. To support this limited capacity for mental time travel, we introduce AI-enabled digital twins that have ``lived through'' simulated life scenarios. Rather than predicting optimal outcomes, these simulations extend prospective cognition by making alternative futures vivid enough to support deliberation without assuming which path is best. We evaluate this idea in a randomized controlled study (N=192) using multimodal synthesis - facial age progression, voice cloning, and large language model dialogue - to create personalized avatars representing participants 30 years forward. Young adults 18 to 28 years old described pending binary decisions and were assigned to guided imagination or one of four avatar conditions: single-option, balanced dual-option, or expanded three-option with a system-generated novel alternative. Results showed asymmetric effects: single-sided avatars increased shifts toward the presented option, while balanced presentation produced movement toward both. Introducing a system-generated third option increased adoption of this new alternative compared to control, suggesting that AI-generated future selves can expand choice by surfacing paths that might otherwise go unnoticed. Participants rated evaluative reasoning and eudaimonic meaning-making as more important than emotional or visual vividness. Perceived persuasiveness and baseline agency predicted decision change. These findings advance understanding of AI-mediated episodic prospection and raise questions about autonomy in AI-augmented decisions.
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ToolMind Technical Report: A Large-Scale, Reasoning-Enhanced Tool-Use Dataset

arXiv:2511.15718v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Large Language Model (LLM) agents have developed rapidly in recent years to solve complex real-world problems using external tools. However, the scarcity of high-quality trajectories still hinders the development of stronger LLM agents. Most existing works on multi-turn dialogue synthesis validate correctness only at the trajectory level, which may overlook turn-level errors that can propagate during training and degrade model performance. To address these limitations, we introduce ToolMind, a large-scale, high-quality tool-agentic dataset with 160k synthetic data instances generated using over 20k tools and 200k augmented open-source data instances. Our data synthesis pipeline first constructs a function graph based on parameter correlations and then uses a multi-agent framework to simulate realistic user-assistant-tool interactions. Beyond trajectory-level validation, we employ fine-grained turn-level filtering to remove erroneous or suboptimal steps, ensuring that only high-quality reasoning traces are retained. This approach mitigates error amplification during training while preserving self-corrective reasoning signals essential for robust tool-use learning. Models fine-tuned on ToolMind show significant improvements over baselines on several benchmarks.
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The AI Productivity Index (APEX)

arXiv:2509.25721v4 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: We present an extended version of the AI Productivity Index (APEX-v1-extended), a benchmark for assessing whether frontier models are capable of performing economically valuable tasks in four jobs: investment banking associate, management consultant, big law associate, and primary care physician (MD). This technical report details the extensions to APEX-v1, including an increase in the held-out evaluation set from n = 50 to n = 100 cases per job (n = 400 total) and updates to the grading methodology. We present a new leaderboard, where GPT5 (Thinking = High) remains the top performing model with a score of 67.0%. APEX-v1-extended shows that frontier models still have substantial limitations when performing typical professional tasks. To support further research, we are open sourcing n = 25 non-benchmark example cases per role (n = 100 total) along with our evaluation harness.
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Exploring a Digital Health Solution to Collect and Manage Health-Related Needs for Patients Who Undergo Complex Surgery: Mixed Methods Study

Background: Patients who undergo complex surgery (e.g., esophagectomy, liver resection) often experience substantial burden of health-related needs (medical, social, and behavioral health). A closed loop digital solution could facilitate the collection and resolution of health-related needs by care team members for patients who undergo complex surgery. A digital solution may facilitate adherence to a clear treatment plan and concomitantly reduce surgical complications and readmissions associated with unmet health-related needs, which remain persistent challenges across health care settings. Objective: To establish problems and gaps in the collection, integration, and management of health-related needs and identify a set of user specifications for a digital solution to collect and manage health-related needs, specifically medical, social, and behavioral needs for patients who undergo complex surgery. Methods: We applied the Double Diamond Framework and organized the study into two sequential phases: (1) qualitative methods to discover patients’ and care team members’ perspectives on health-related needs; (2) participatory design sessions to gain feedback and sentiment about ideal features of a digital solution. Both phases were conducted between December 2023 and March 2025. We supplemented both phases with analysis of electronic health record (EHR) data for patients who underwent complex surgery at our academic medical center (AMC). Results: Extensive themes emerged from interviews with patients (n=20) and care team members (n=24), capturing their health-related and surgical experiences as well as desired features for a proposed digital solution. Our swim lane diagram demonstrated four critical gaps in workflow: (1) heterogeneity in the approach to screening, monitoring, and managing health-related needs; (2) patients felt uncomfortable reporting health-related needs, particularly behavioral and social needs, to their care team; (3) lack of access to referral resources to resolve needs; and (4) the need for a closed loop intervention for patients and care team members. A subset of participants from Phase 1 (n=5 patients and n=9 care team members) provided feedback on preferred features, drawing from digital tools currently available in the EHR at our AMC. Among four existing EHR tools tested, there were notable variations in how patients and care team members felt about their potential use. Participants also provided extensive feedback for preferred components (e.g., goals and active plans) that should be available in an existing or custom digital solution to manage health-related needs. Findings from the qualitative interviews and design sessions were corroborated with EHR documentation. Conclusions: Digital solutions could provide a streamlined approach for collection and management of health-related needs in surgery, with the goal of addressing unmet needs and improving patient activation. This approach is critical to ensure patients, especially patients who undergo complex surgery, have positive health outcomes. We identified preferences for specific features in a proposed digital solution based on our systematic assessment that will inform future work.
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