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UniTAC: Universal Task-Aware Compression via Weighted Distortion Measures

arXiv:2608.16696v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Lossy compression is conventionally driven by a task-agnostic distortion (e.g., MSE or MS-SSIM), yet in many emerging applications the receiver cares not about uniform fidelity but about a downstream task whose relevant content varies across the signal and evolves over time. We formulate task-aware compression as a weighted rate-distortion problem, in which a single codec is driven by a separable, per-component weighted distortion whose weights encode task importance and may depend on the source. We introduce task consistency, i.e., that minimizing the weighted distortion also minimizes the true task loss, and characterize when it holds: for linear tasks, the task loss admits a weighted-MSE form with signal-independent weights under suitable cross-term conditions, while for nonlinear tasks, an integrated-gradients analysis motivates separable task-aware weights. We show how task symmetry and irrelevance further constrain the admissible weights. Guided by this theory, we realize the weight-conditioned code in a single learned Vision Transformer (ViT) codec whose token-level attention natively consumes a per-component importance vector, so one fixed backbone is re-targeted at runtime, from universal (task-agnostic) to task-specialized operation, purely by swapping the injected weights, without retraining, while producing a single human-viewable reconstruction steered to the active task. On downstream face-analysis tasks, a single model reaches 91.4% accuracy at 0.034 bpp on a localized task, within 1.9% of a task-specific codec (93.3%) and well above a universal codec (76.9%). Such task-adaptive compression suits bandwidth-constrained perception systems, e.g., in Physical AI, where the active task drifts and per-task retraining is infeasible.

Quantifying Logical Consistency in Transformers via Query-Key Alignment

arXiv:2502.17017v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Large language models (LLMs) have demonstrated impressive performance in various natural language processing tasks, yet their ability to perform multi-step logical reasoning remains an open challenge. Although Chain-of-Thought prompting has improved logical reasoning by enabling models to generate intermediate steps, it lacks mechanisms to assess the coherence of these logical transitions. In this paper, we propose a novel, lightweight evaluation strategy for logical reasoning that uses query-key alignments inside transformer attention heads. By computing a single forward pass and extracting a "QK-score" from carefully chosen heads, our method reveals latent representations that reliably separate valid from invalid inferences, offering a scalable alternative to traditional ablation-based techniques. We also provide an empirical validation on multiple logical reasoning benchmarks, demonstrating improved robustness of our evaluation method against distractors and increased reasoning depth. The experiments were conducted on a diverse set of models, ranging from 1.5B to 70B parameters.

Reliable Near-Field Multi-User Positioning Informed by Two-Stage MUSIC

arXiv:2609.09409v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Near-field localization is a promising technique for high-resolution multi-user positioning in future wireless systems, but its performance is often degraded by scattering-induced coherent propagation. Existing near-field localization methods, which require separate parameter estimation and path/source association, suffer from high computation overhead and accumulated errors, and usually do not provide any guarantee on reliability. In this paper, we propose \emph{MUSIC-Net}, an end-to-end near-field positioning deep learning (DL) framework informed by two-stage MUltiple SIgnal Classification (MUSIC) in mixed line-of-sight (LoS) and non-LoS (NLoS) multi-path scenarios, which embeds the two-stage MUSIC objects into training to isolate the LoS-related signal subspace and to identify a surrogate distance. The proposed framework directly recovers multi-user positions without the need for involved NLoS parameter estimation or path/source association. Furthermore, we introduce split conformal prediction (SCP) to move beyond point-estimation-based positioning towards statistically guaranteed (confidence) set estimation for all users. Numerical results show that the proposed MUSIC-Net achieves lower mean positioning error (MPER) than existing benchmarks and yields tighter SCP-calibrated prediction regions, demonstrating both accurate LoS localization and efficient uncertainty quantification (UQ) in coherent multi-path environments.

Non-Stationarity Breaks Permutation Surrogates in Multi-Agent Reinforcement Learning: Diagnosis and Remedies

arXiv:2604.23716v4 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Reporting guidance for information-theoretic measures is rarely tested against ground truth. We test one guardrail in two multi-agent reinforcement learning games, a social dilemma and a coordination race, where directed influence between selected agent pairs is zero by construction, over 100 seeds. Omitting one precondition, exclusion of the non-stationary training transient, gives false-positive rates of 100.00% and 99.95%: agents annealing exploration independently, in runs that never met, are flagged as influencing one another. Excluding the transient reaches 3.0% in the social dilemma but 11.8% in the coordination game, which stationarity tests explain: 95.7% of social-dilemma series are stationary afterwards against 56.8% of coordination series. So the non-stationarity must be treated, and exclusion is neither the only way nor sufficient. What we recommend instead changes the null model rather than the data: permuting the source within blocks of training time reaches 5.25% and 5.50%, the only one of four constructions at the size of the test in both games, leaving series, statistic and estimand untouched. Titrating injected links of known strength in both games shows it is also the most sensitive of the three, detecting 89.0% in the coordination game where conditioning detects 61.0% on identical pairs, while the ablated test reports 100% with or without a link, so its apparent sensitivity is uninformative. The block count is not critical: every setting from 16 to 256 lands in the nominal region, and a partition derived from the stationarity test removes the parameter, though less sensitively. Code and data are released.
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  • Fundamental Limitation in Explaining AI Atsushi Suzuki Β· Jing Wang
    arXiv:2605.24727v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: While large-scale models such as LLMs and diffusion models have achieved practical success, public institutions have emphasized the importance of explainability in AI. Existing methods for explaining AI, however, are not designed to provide completely faithful explanations of the behavior of large-scale AI systems. Although a completely faithful and interpretable explanation of the behavior of an AI system might be useful for AI governance, it has
     

Fundamental Limitation in Explaining AI

arXiv:2605.24727v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: While large-scale models such as LLMs and diffusion models have achieved practical success, public institutions have emphasized the importance of explainability in AI. Existing methods for explaining AI, however, are not designed to provide completely faithful explanations of the behavior of large-scale AI systems. Although a completely faithful and interpretable explanation of the behavior of an AI system might be useful for AI governance, it has not been known whether providing such an explanation is theoretically possible. In this paper, we mathematically prove a fundamental quadrilemma in explaining AI, stating that AI and its explanation cannot satisfy the following four conditions simultaneously: 1) the complexity of the operation environment, 2) the goodness of the AI's performance, 3) the interpretability of the AI's explanation, and 4) the complete faithfulness of the AI's explanation. This quadrilemma suggests that, in most applications where we cannot change the environment or sacrifice good AI performance and an interpretable explanation, we should give up complete faithfulness of explanations and should instead aim to explain only the parts that are important for applications. As a consequence, the quadrilemma implies that AI governance should be designed on the premise that the faithfulness of AI explanations is always incomplete.

Polynomial Context-Truncation Sensitivity in Autoregressive Language Models: Sequential Wyner-Ziv Bounds for KV Cache Compression

arXiv:2605.25085v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: We study the rate-distortion limits of online KV cache compression in autoregressive language models, formulating it as sequential Wyner-Ziv source coding on the filtration induced by the model, with the next-step query as decoder side information. Empirically, across four models spanning two families and $0.5$-$3$B parameters, we find that the next-token distribution's sensitivity to context truncation decays \emph{polynomially} rather than \emph{geometrically}: a power law improves on an exponential fit by an order of magnitude in extrapolation, the fitted exponent is recovered independently from a sink-plus-recent KL measurement, and the decay is verified to be free of positional-encoding artifacts by a position-preserving ablation. Under a corresponding \emph{polynomial truncation-sensitivity} assumption, our main result characterizes the per-token memory requirement of \emph{suffix-only} cache policies: a sliding-window scheme attains distortion $\varepsilon$ with window $w = O(\varepsilon^{-1/\alpha})$, and -- under an additional two-sided Bayes-risk condition -- a converse shows $w = \Omega(\varepsilon^{-1/\alpha})$ is necessary within this policy class, so the scaling is $\Theta(\varepsilon^{-1/\alpha})$ for suffix-only policies. Whether recurrent or propagating cache summaries can beat this scaling is left open. An explicit block-Markov scheme achieves the upper bound; its rate-of-convergence exponent matches the converse under additional forward-decay and regularity hypotheses (not implied by truncation sensitivity alone), and differs by a factor of two otherwise. Empirically, the polynomial law predicts the degradation curves of concrete cache policies: recency-based eviction (sliding, sink-plus-recent) suppresses distortion by roughly two orders of magnitude over random retention at equal budget, with a power-law decay in the budget.

A Token/KV-Cache Communication Media Selection and Resource Allocation Strategy for Multi-Agent Collaboration

arXiv:2605.25422v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: The convergence of large language models (LLMs) with 6G networks is fostering a paradigm of autonomous multi-agent cooperation, which in turn is expected to substantially increase east-west traffic. Although latent-space interaction mechanisms can enable more efficient collaboration than symbolic natural-language (NL) exchanges, prior work often abstracts away the associated communication overhead under practical wireless constraints. In embodied multi-agent settings, heterogeneous interaction media incur disparate inference and transmission costs, thereby inducing an inherent end-to-end (E2E) latency trade-off. To address this, we propose a joint design that integrates communication-media selection with wireless resource allocation. Through analytical characterization and simulation-based evaluation, we show that neither token-based transmission nor key-value (KV) cache-based transmission is uniformly optimal across operating regimes, as performance depends critically on system parameters such as available computational resources and channel conditions. Accordingly, we formulate a joint optimization problem aimed at minimizing the E2E latency of multi-agent collaboration and develop a low-complexity joint media selection and resource allocation (JMSRA) algorithm. Numerical results further confirm that, by adaptively coordinating the interaction media and bandwidth allocation over heterogeneous links, the proposed scheme achieves markedly reduced E2E latency relative to conventional NL-only and KV-cache-only baselines, enabling efficient and robust multi-agent collaboration in future wireless networks.

On the Benefits of Free Exploration for Regret Minimization in Multi-Armed Bandits

arXiv:2605.25789v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: We study a stochastic multi-armed bandit problem where an agent is granted a free exploration budget before regret accumulates, a setting not captured by the classic regret minimization or pure exploration paradigms. The goal is to design an adaptive policy that strategically explores the bandit instance in the initial free exploration phase and minimizes the cumulative regret in the subsequent phase. We formalize this regret minimization with free exploration problem and identify an interesting regime where the free exploration budget scales logarithmically with the time horizon. To quantify the amount of regret saved with high probability as a result of the availability of the free exploration phase, we introduce a novel set of policies known as $(\alpha,\beta)$-probably saving policies. We propose a two-phase, probably saving algorithm, UFE-KLUCB-H, which consists of a principled free exploration policy, UFE, and a history-aware regret minimization policy KLUCB-H. Instance-dependent upper bounds on UFE-KLUCB-H are derived, showing that UFE-KLUCB-H accumulates strictly less regret than policies that do not have access to a free exploration phase. Complementarily, we derive instance-dependent lower bounds based on novel multi-instance perturbation arguments tailored to the free-exploration setting, demonstrating the near-optimality of UFE-KLUCB-H for two-valued bandits. Our upper and lower bounds reveal sharp phase transitions in the accumulated regret depending on the amount of available free exploration. Simulations are conducted to demonstrate that forced exploration and adaptivity in the algorithm lead to greater regret savings.

Plan for Speed: Dilated Scheduling for Masked Diffusion Language Models

arXiv:2506.19037v5 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Masked diffusion language models (MDLMs) promise fast, non-autoregressive text generation, yet existing samplers, which pick tokens to unmask based on model confidence, ignore interactions when unmasking multiple positions in parallel and effectively reduce to slow, autoregressive behavior. We propose the Dilated Unmasking Scheduler (DUS), an inference-only, planner-model-free method that partitions sequence positions into non-adjacent dilated groups and unmasks them in parallel so as to minimize an upper bound on joint entropy gain at each denoising step. By explicitly trading off the number of network calls against generation quality, DUS recovers most of the performance lost under traditional parallel unmasking strategies. Across math (GSM8K, MATH500), code (HumanEval, MBPP), general-knowledge (BBH, MMLU-Pro), and instruction following (IFEval) benchmarks, DUS outperforms confidence-based planners and turns the diffusion-specific quality-speed trade-off into a deterministic, predictable speedup set by the block size $B$, yielding up to $5.8\times$ wall-clock speedup over token-by-token MDLM decoding without modifying the underlying denoiser. Applied as a drop-in post-filter, dilated spacing also improves adaptive samplers. Code is available at https://github.com/omerlux/DUS.

MARS: Margin and Semantic-Aware Data Augmentation for Reward Modeling

arXiv:2602.17658v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Reward modeling is central to alignment pipelines such as RLHF, RLAIF, and PPO-based policy optimization, yet its reliability is constrained by limited and heterogeneous human preference data that are expensive to collect at scale. While synthetic augmentation can expand preference supervision, existing methods often augment uniformly or at the representation level, without targeting examples where the reward model is uncertain or prone to mis-ranking. In this paper, we introduce MARS (Margin and Semantic-Aware Data Augmentation for Reward Modeling), an adaptive augmentation framework that prioritizes low-margin preference pairs and uses semantic distance as a second layer for refinement to enhance the contrast between the chosen and rejected responses. Across multiple preference datasets, reward-model backbones, downstream alignment settings, and benchmarks including RewardBench and AlpacaEval, MARS improves both reward-model quality and alignment performance over existing baselines. Our results show that reward-model augmentation is most effective when guided by both model margins and semantic structure.

Learning Selective Merge Policies for Deadline-Constrained Coded Caching via Deep Reinforcement Learning

arXiv:2605.15236v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: In the coded caching, the server uses the cached information at the users to serve multiple users in parallel with a single coded multi-casting message or packet, that is, a merged packet, and thus mitigates the peak network congestion. In order to deliver the timely messages to the users in the deadline-driven applications like the video streaming, we must determine online the messages to be merged for the delivery, as there is a time limit for each request. It is important to note that while the merging aids the current coded multi-casting packet, it could harm the future deliveries. Our solution employs the deep reinforcement learning to view the coded multi-casting delivery as a masked action-discrete state control problem, and our policy network, trained via the proximal policy optimization, performs better than SACM++. On the uniform-demand benchmark, our policy network reduces the broadcast-packet expiration ratio $\rho$ by $40.9\%$ ($0.208$ vs.\ $0.352$) with respect to the best coded multi-casting baseline (SACM++), while also attaining the best broadcast-efficiency score $\sigma$ across the Track~A battery among the coded multi-casting methods. One noteworthy phenomenon here is that, for the applications with stricter deadlines, the merging becomes selective instead of aggressive, since the policy network selectively merges at approximately $31.8\%$ of the chances, even though the same observation holds across the variations within the same simulator family. The focus of our design is on the efficient pairwise XOR merging, where the higher-order ($K{\ge}3$) coding can be considered as a natural generalization left for future work.
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  • Contextual Control without Memory Growth in a Context-Switching Task Song-Ju Kim
    arXiv:2604.03479v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Context-dependent sequential decision making is commonly addressed either by providing context explicitly as an input or by increasing recurrent memory so that contextual information can be represented internally. We study a third alternative: realizing contextual dependence by intervening on a shared recurrent latent state, without enlarging recurrent dimensionality. To this end, we introduce an intervention-based recurrent architecture in which
     

Contextual Control without Memory Growth in a Context-Switching Task

arXiv:2604.03479v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Context-dependent sequential decision making is commonly addressed either by providing context explicitly as an input or by increasing recurrent memory so that contextual information can be represented internally. We study a third alternative: realizing contextual dependence by intervening on a shared recurrent latent state, without enlarging recurrent dimensionality. To this end, we introduce an intervention-based recurrent architecture in which a recurrent core first constructs a shared pre-intervention latent state, and context then acts through an additive, context-indexed operator. We evaluate this idea on a context-switching sequential decision task under partial observability. We compare three model families: a label-assisted baseline with direct context access, a memory baseline with enlarged recurrent state, and the proposed intervention model, which uses no direct context input to the recurrent core and no memory growth. On the main benchmark, the intervention model performs strongly without additional recurrent dimensions. We also evaluate the models using the conditional mutual information (I(C;O | S)) as a theorem-motivated operational probe of contextual dependence at fixed latent state. For task-relevant phase-1 outcomes, the intervention model exhibits positive conditional contextual information. Together, these results suggest that intervention on a shared recurrent state provides a viable alternative to recurrent memory growth for contextual control in this setting.
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  • All Substitution Is Local Nidhish Shah Β· Shaurjya Mandal Β· Asfandyar Azhar
    arXiv:2604.01443v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: When does consulting one information source raise the value of another, and when does it diminish it? We study this question for Bayesian decision-makers facing finite actions. The interaction decomposes into two opposing forces: a complement force, measuring how one source moves beliefs to where the other becomes more useful, and a substitute force, measuring how much the current decision is resolved. Their balance obeys a localization principl
     

All Substitution Is Local

arXiv:2604.01443v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: When does consulting one information source raise the value of another, and when does it diminish it? We study this question for Bayesian decision-makers facing finite actions. The interaction decomposes into two opposing forces: a complement force, measuring how one source moves beliefs to where the other becomes more useful, and a substitute force, measuring how much the current decision is resolved. Their balance obeys a localization principle: substitution requires an observation to cross a decision boundary, though crossing alone does not guarantee it. Whenever posteriors remain inside the current decision region, the substitute force vanishes, and sources are guaranteed to complement each other, even when one source cannot, on its own, change the decision. The results hold for arbitrarily correlated sources and are formalized in Lean 4. Substitution is confined to the thin boundaries where decisions change. Everywhere else, information cooperates. Code and proofs: https://github.com/nidhishs/all-substitution-is-local.

A Rational Account of Categorization Based on Information Theory

arXiv:2603.29895v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: We present a new theory of categorization based on an information-theoretic rational analysis. To evaluate this theory, we investigate how well it can account for key findings from classic categorization experiments conducted by Hayes-Roth and Hayes-Roth (1977), Medin and Schaffer (1978), and Smith and Minda (1998). We find that it explains the human categorization behavior at least as well (or better) than the independent cue and context models (Medin & Schaffer, 1978), the rational model of categorization (Anderson, 1991), and a hierarchical Dirichlet process model (Griffiths et al., 2007).

Training-free Adjustable Polynomial Graph Filtering for Ultra-fast Multimodal Recommendation

arXiv:2503.04406v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Multimodal recommender systems improve the performance of canonical recommender systems with no item features by utilizing diverse content types such as text, images, and videos, while alleviating inherent sparsity of user-item interactions and accelerating user engagement. However, current neural network-based models often incur significant computational overhead due to the complex training process required to learn and integrate information from multiple modalities. To address this challenge, we propose a training-free multimodal recommendation method grounded in graph filtering, designed for multimodal recommendation systems to achieve efficient and accurate recommendation. Specifically, the proposed method first constructs multiple similarity graphs for two distinct modalities as well as user-item interaction data. Then, it optimally fuses these multimodal signals using a polynomial graph filter that allows for precise control of the frequency response by adjusting frequency bounds. Furthermore, the filter coefficients are treated as hyperparameters, enabling flexible and data-driven adaptation. Extensive experiments on real-world benchmark datasets demonstrate that the proposed method not only improves recommendation accuracy by up to 22.25% compared to the best competitor but also dramatically reduces computational costs by achieving the runtime of less than 10 seconds.

Does Privacy Always Harm Fairness? Data-Dependent Trade-offs via Chernoff Information Neural Estimation

arXiv:2601.13698v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Fairness and privacy are two vital pillars of trustworthy machine learning. Despite extensive research on these individual topics, their relationship has received significantly less attention. In this paper, we utilize an information-theoretic measure Chernoff Information to characterize the fundamental trade-off between fairness, privacy, and accuracy, as induced by the input data distribution. We first propose Chernoff Difference, a notion of data fairness, along with its noisy variant, Noisy Chernoff Difference, which allows us to analyze both fairness and privacy simultaneously. Through simple Gaussian examples, we show that Noisy Chernoff Difference exhibits three qualitatively distinct behaviors depending on the underlying data distribution. To extend this analysis beyond synthetic settings, we develop the Chernoff Information Neural Estimator (CINE), the first neural network-based estimator of Chernoff Information for unknown distributions. We apply CINE to analyze the Noisy Chernoff Difference on real-world datasets. Together, this work fills a critical gap in the literature by providing a principled, data-dependent characterization of the fairness-privacy interaction.

A Decision-Theoretic Formalisation of Steganography With Applications to LLM Monitoring

arXiv:2602.23163v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Large language models are beginning to show steganographic capabilities. Such capabilities could allow misaligned models to evade oversight mechanisms. Yet principled methods to detect and quantify such behaviours are lacking. Classical definitions of steganography, and detection methods based on them, require a known reference distribution of non-steganographic signals. For the case of steganographic reasoning in LLMs, knowing such a reference distribution is not feasible; this renders these approaches inapplicable. We propose an alternative, \textbf{decision-theoretic view of steganography}. Our central insight is that steganography creates an asymmetry in usable information between agents who can and cannot decode the hidden content (present within a steganographic signal), and this otherwise latent asymmetry can be inferred from the agents' observable actions. To formalise this perspective, we introduce generalised $\mathcal{V}$-information: a utilitarian framework for measuring the amount of usable information within some input. We use this to define the \textbf{steganographic gap} -- a measure that quantifies steganography by comparing the downstream utility of the steganographic signal to agents that can and cannot decode the hidden content. We empirically validate our formalism, and show that it can be used to detect, quantify, and mitigate steganographic reasoning in LLMs.

Context Channel Capacity: An Information-Theoretic Framework for Understanding Catastrophic Forgetting

arXiv:2603.07415v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Catastrophic forgetting remains a central challenge in continual learning (CL), yet lacks a unified information-theoretic explanation for why some architectures forget catastrophically while others do not. We introduce \emph{Context Channel Capacity} ($C_\mathrm{ctx}$), the mutual information between a CL architecture's context signal and its generated parameters, and prove that zero forgetting requires $C_\mathrm{ctx} \geq H(T)$, where $H(T)$ is the task identity entropy. We establish an \emph{Impossibility Triangle} -- zero forgetting, online learning, and finite parameters cannot be simultaneously satisfied by sequential state-based learners -- and show that conditional regeneration architectures (HyperNetworks) bypass this triangle by redefining parameters as function values rather than states. We validate this framework across 8 CL methods on Split-MNIST (1,130+ experiments over 86 days, 4 seeds each), showing that $C_\mathrm{ctx}$ perfectly predicts forgetting behavior: methods with $C_\mathrm{ctx} = 0$ (NaiveSGD, EWC, SI, LwF, CFlow) exhibit catastrophic forgetting (6--97\%), while methods with $C_\mathrm{ctx} \approx 1$ (HyperNetwork) achieve zero forgetting (98.8\% ACC). We further propose \emph{Wrong-Context Probing} (P5), a practical diagnostic protocol for measuring $C_\mathrm{ctx}$, and extend the framework to CIFAR-10 via a novel \emph{Gradient Context Encoder} that closes the oracle gap from 23.3pp to 0.7pp. A systematic taxonomy of 15+ closed research directions -- including the Hebbian null result (frozen random features outperform learned features), CFlow's $\theta_0$-memorizer phenomenon, and the $S_N$ symmetry barrier to column specialization -- provides the community with precisely diagnosed negative results. Our central design principle: \emph{architecture over algorithm} -- the context pathway must be structurally unbypassable.

A Mathematical Theory of Agency and Intelligence

arXiv:2602.22519v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: To operate reliably under changing conditions, complex systems require feedback on how effectively they use resources, not just whether objectives are met. Current AI systems process vast information to produce sophisticated predictions, yet predictions can appear successful while the underlying interaction with the environment degrades. What is missing is a principled measure of how much of the total information a system deploys is actually shared between its observations, actions, and outcomes. We prove this shared fraction, which we term bipredictability, P, is intrinsic to any interaction, derivable from first principles, and strictly bounded: P can reach unity in quantum systems, P equal to, or smaller than 0.5 in classical systems, and lower once agency (action selection) is introduced. We confirm these bounds in a physical system (double pendulum), reinforcement learning agents, and multi turn LLM conversations. These results distinguish agency from intelligence: agency is the capacity to act on predictions, whereas intelligence additionally requires learning from interaction, self-monitoring of its learning effectiveness, and adapting the scope of observations, actions, and outcomes to restore effective learning. By this definition, current AI systems achieve agency but not intelligence. Inspired by thalamocortical regulation in biological systems, we demonstrate a feedback architecture that monitors P in real time, establishing a prerequisite for adaptive, resilient AI.

An Information-Theoretic Framework For Optimizing Experimental Design To Distinguish Probabilistic Neural Codes

arXiv:2603.01387v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: The Bayesian brain hypothesis has been a leading theory in understanding perceptual decision-making under uncertainty. While extensive psychophysical evidence supports the notion of the brain performing Bayesian computations, how uncertainty information is encoded in sensory neural populations remains elusive. Specifically, two competing hypotheses propose that early sensory populations encode either the likelihood function (exemplified by probabilistic population codes) or the posterior distribution (exemplified by neural sampling codes) over the stimulus, with the key distinction lying in whether stimulus priors would modulate the neural responses. However, experimentally differentiating these two hypotheses has remained challenging, as it is unclear what task design would effectively distinguish the two. In this work, we present an information-theoretic framework for optimizing the task stimulus distribution that would maximally differentiate competing probabilistic neural codes. To quantify how distinguishable the two probabilistic coding hypotheses are under a given task design, we derive the information gap--the expected performance difference when likelihood versus posterior decoders are applied to neural populations--by evaluating the Kullback-Leibler divergence between the true posterior and a task-marginalized surrogate posterior. Through extensive simulations, we demonstrate that the information gap accurately predicts decoder performance differences across diverse task settings. Critically, maximizing the information gap yields stimulus distributions that optimally differentiate likelihood and posterior coding hypotheses. Our framework enables principled, theory-driven experimental designs with maximal discriminative power to differentiate probabilistic neural codes, advancing our understanding of how neural populations represent and process sensory uncertainty.
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